A Simulation Study of a Heavy Rainfall Process the Yangtze River Valley Using the Two-Way Nesting Approach

• Published in: 大气科学进展：英文版 2012, Vol.29 (4), p.731-743
• Main Author: 王树舟 于恩涛 王会军
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: WRF模式; 大尺度环流; 嵌套方法; 极端天气事件; 模型模拟; 西太平洋副热带高压; 长江中下游地区; 长江流域
• ISSN: 0256-1530; 1861-9533

In this study, the major features of a heavy rainfall event in the Yangtze River region on 3-7 June 2011 and its event-related large-scale circulation and predictability were studied. Both observational analysis and model simulation were used, the latter being based on the Weather Research and Forecasting （WRF） model forced by NCEP Global Forecast System （GFS） datasets. It was found that, during 3-5 June, the western Pacific subtropical high apparently extended to the west and was much stronger, and the Indian summer monsoon trough was slightly weaker than in normal years. The east-west oriented shear line over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River was favorable for the transportation and convergence of water vapor, and the precipitation band was located slightly to the south of the shear line. During 6-7 June, the western Pacific subtropical high retreated eastward, while the trough over the Okhotsk Sea deepened. The low vortex in Northeast China intensified, bringing much more cold air to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, and the shear line over this area moved slightly southward. The convection band moved southward and became weaker, so the rainfall during 6-7 June weakened and was located slightly to the south of the previous precipitation band. Many of the observed features, including background circulation and the distribution and amount of precipitation, were reproduced reasonably by the WRF, suggesting a feasibility of this model for forecasting extreme weather events in the Yangtze River region.