Forecasting Earth Surface Temperature for the Optimal Application of Frost Protection Methods

A method is presented which predicts when the earth surface temperature will fall below a safe threshold for plants during a night of frost. The method requires as an input a set of earth surface temperatures which ought to be measured soon after sunset. Unknown parameters of the heat transfer proce...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of agricultural engineering research 1996-02, Vol.63 (2), p.93-101
Main Authors: Krasovitski, B., Kimmel, E., Amir, I.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Agricultural and forest climatology and meteorology. Irrigation. Drainage
Agricultural and forest meteorology
Agronomy. Soil science and plant productions
Biological and medical sciences
Climatology, meteorology
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
General agronomy. Plant production
Generalities. Techniques. Climatology. Meteorology. Climatic models of plant production
Phytopathology. Animal pests. Plant and forest protection
Weather damages
Weather damages. Fires
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Summary:A method is presented which predicts when the earth surface temperature will fall below a safe threshold for plants during a night of frost. The method requires as an input a set of earth surface temperatures which ought to be measured soon after sunset. Unknown parameters of the heat transfer process in the soil and the air are determined by an optimization procedure. Based on these parameters, the evolution of earth surface temperature is predicted for the rest of the night. Simulation experiments show good quality of the prediction.
ISSN:0021-8634
1095-9246
DOI:10.1006/jaer.1996.0011