Health status, life expectancy and early claiming of pension

• Published in: SN Business & Economics 2024-03, Vol.4 (4), Article 45
• Main Authors: Aakvik, Arild, Holmås, Tor Helge, Kjerstad, Egil
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Business and Management; Economics; Finance; Original Article
• ISSN: 2662-9399; 2662-9399
• DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00640-7

Prior to 2011, individual life expectancy played no role in the Norwegian old-age pension system. However, after the 2011 reform, life expectancy became a central factor for early pension take-up. Asymmetric information is crucial in most insurance markets, including the new pension system, where employees can flexible claim a public pension from the age of 62. Individuals who expect to live longer than the average for their birth cohort can maximize their pension wealth by deferring pension claiming, while those with a shorter life expectancy should draw their pension as early as possible. This raises concerns that adverse selection may pose a risk to the sustainability of the new pension system. To investigate this issue, we use chronic disease as a proxy for life expectancy and examine its relationship with employment and pension decisions. Our findings show that individuals with a chronic health condition are more likely to draw a pension and continue working when they reach 62 years of age compared to those without a chronic health condition. This suggests potential adverse selection issues in the pension system, although our results suggest small effects after adjusting for unobservables.