Taming hyperbolic growth

A simple modification of the hyperbolic growth model is proposed which results in close agreement with past and present population data but removes the singularity at the critical date. However, the values of the parameters in the model such as the population at the critical date cannot be estimated...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Technological forecasting & social change 1977, Vol.10 (1), p.15-20
Main Author: Squire, William
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:A simple modification of the hyperbolic growth model is proposed which results in close agreement with past and present population data but removes the singularity at the critical date. However, the values of the parameters in the model such as the population at the critical date cannot be estimated until the population deviates significantly from the simple model. The family of distributions suggested by this analysis may have other applications.
ISSN:0040-1625
1873-5509
DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(77)90003-8