Smart shrinkage solutions? The future of present-day urban regeneration on the inner peripheries of Europe

•The Urban Futures method can be successfully applied to complex social phenomena.•22 effective urban regeneration projects are uncovered in 7 shrinking cities, with an overall 57% chance to deliver the intended benefits in 40 years' time.•Business-orientated projects are found to be most resil...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Applied geography (Sevenoaks) 2023-08, Vol.157, p.103018, Article 103018
Main Author: Mykhnenko, Vlad
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:•The Urban Futures method can be successfully applied to complex social phenomena.•22 effective urban regeneration projects are uncovered in 7 shrinking cities, with an overall 57% chance to deliver the intended benefits in 40 years' time.•Business-orientated projects are found to be most resilient vis-à-vis the future.•People-orientated projects are least likely to perform well by 2060.•Place-orientated projects fall in between the other two types of urban regeneration.
ISSN:0143-6228
1873-7730
DOI:10.1016/j.apgeog.2023.103018