An Integrated Approach for Risk Assessment of CO2 Infrastructure in the COCATE Project

An innovative risk analysis model has been developed in order to quantify and analyse safety risks related to loss-of- containment scenarios in the pipeline transport of CO2. The risk model integrates the identified failure modes, consequence estimates and emergency response, producing consistent ri...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy procedia 2013, Vol.37, p.2932-2940
Main Authors: Kvien, Knut, Flach, Todd, Solomon, Semere, Napoles, Oswaldo Morales, Hulsbosch-Dam, Corina, Spruijt, Mark
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Bayesian belief network
CO2 infrastructure
COCATE
loss-of-containment
Risk assessment
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Summary:An innovative risk analysis model has been developed in order to quantify and analyse safety risks related to loss-of- containment scenarios in the pipeline transport of CO2. The risk model integrates the identified failure modes, consequence estimates and emergency response, producing consistent risk profiles based on complete outcome spaces and for different system design choices. The method involves integration in a Bayesian Belief Network (BN) of analytical equations for gas dispersion combined with statistics and expert estimates of particularly uncertain variables. Future failure initiators, scenarios and impacts are captured in a graphical structure which represents and calculates the effects of common causes. The test case for the integrated risk model will be a large CO2 capture and transport network at the Le Havre industrial zone with export to Rotterdam. The primary relative advantages of the BN risk model approach are discussed.
ISSN:1876-6102
1876-6102
DOI:10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.179