Multi-objective simulation–optimization via kriging surrogate models applied to natural gas liquefaction process design

• Published in: Energy (Oxford) 2023-01, Vol.262, p.125271, Article 125271
• Main Authors: Santos, Lucas F., Costa, Caliane B.B., Caballero, José A., Ravagnani, Mauro A.S.S.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Kriging; Mathematical programming; Multi-objective simulation–optimization; Natural gas liquefaction; Process design; Surrogate-based optimization
• ISSN: 0360-5442
• DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.125271

A surrogate-based multi-objective optimization framework is employed in the design of natural gas liquefaction processes using reliable, black-box process simulation. The conflicting objectives are minimizing both power consumption and heat exchanger area utilization. The Pareto solutions of the single-mixed refrigerant (SMR) and propane-precooled mixed refrigerant (C3MR) processes are compared to determine the suitability of each process in terms of energy consumption and heat exchanger area. Kriging models and the ɛ-constraint methodology are used to sequentially provide simple surrogate optimization subproblems, whose minimizers are promising feasible and non-dominated solutions to the original black-box problem. The surrogate-based ɛ-constrained optimization subproblems are solved in GAMS using CONOPT. The Pareto Fronts achieved with the surrogate-based framework dominate the results from the NSGA-II, a well-established meta-heuristics of multi-objective optimization. The objective functions of non-dominated solutions go as low as 1045 and 980.3 kJ/kg-LNG and specific UA values of 212.2 and 266.9 kJ/(°C kg-LNG) for SMR and C3MR, respectively. The trade-off solutions that present the minimum sum of relative objectives are analyzed as well as the dominance of C3MR over SMR at low power consumption values and conversely at low heat exchanger area utilization. [Display omitted] •SMR and C3MR processes are designed to minimize usage of power and heat transfer area.•First application of multi-objective surrogate-based optimization to LNG processes.•Pareto Fronts surpass the state-of-the-art multi-objective meta-heuristics of NSGA-II.•Appropriate trade-off solutions of conflicting objectives are derived and analyzed.•Pareto solutions of SMR and C3MR processes are compared to derive their suitability.