The renewable energy plan in Morocco, a Divisia index approach

The Moroccan National Energy Strategy (NES) launched in 2008 expects that 42% of the total energy mix to come from renewable sources by 2020; solar, wind and hydroelectric generation capacities are expected to be 2000 MW each. A 12% improvement in the total energy intensity is also targeted by 2020....

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy strategy reviews 2014-08, Vol.4, p.11-15
Main Authors: Belakhdar, N., Kharbach, M., Afilal, M.E.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Divisia index
Morocco
Renewable
Thermal
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Summary:The Moroccan National Energy Strategy (NES) launched in 2008 expects that 42% of the total energy mix to come from renewable sources by 2020; solar, wind and hydroelectric generation capacities are expected to be 2000 MW each. A 12% improvement in the total energy intensity is also targeted by 2020. We use a Divisia index approach to assess past contributions of different factors, including the supply mix, to the fuel requirements in the thermal power generation and to forecast such requirements for the year 2020. The wide range of the forecasts gives insights on the challenges of long-term planning with high renewable penetration rates. •The Moroccan Energy Strategy targets 42% of the total energy mix to be renewable by 2020.•A 12% improvement in the total energy intensity is also targeted by 2020.•A Divisia index approach gives insights on the drivers of generation fuel requirements.•Different scenarios are used to forecast such requirements for the year 2020.•Challenges of long-term planning with high renewable penetration rates are discussed.
ISSN:2211-467X
2211-467X
DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2014.06.001