A mathematical model for choosing an action plan for the prevention and elimination of flood effects

The article presents the development of a mathematical model of system dynamics to forecast the flood effects characteristics. The model is based on a causal diagram and is presented by a system of nonlinear differential equations. The solution results of the system of differential equations were co...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:IFAC-PapersOnLine 2022, Vol.55 (3), p.113-118
Main Authors: Khamutova, Maria V., Kushnikov, Vadim A., Dranko, Oleg I.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
differential equations
Dynamic systems
forecasts
information systems
mathematical models
the flood effects characteristics
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Summary:The article presents the development of a mathematical model of system dynamics to forecast the flood effects characteristics. The model is based on a causal diagram and is presented by a system of nonlinear differential equations. The solution results of the system of differential equations were compared to real data of the flood that occurred in Primorye in 2001. The results obtained from the model can be used when developing a new effective action plan for flood prevention and response or correcting the current action plan. The FCFAAD information system was developed, which allows calculating the flood effects characteristics and choosing an action plan for flood prevention and response.
ISSN:2405-8963
2405-8963
DOI:10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.05.020