The press and government, influencers of citizens’ political opinions: A quasi-experiment on Brexit

• Published in: Journal of policy modeling 2024-03, Vol.46 (2), p.272-288
• Main Authors: Roşu, Maria-Magdalena, Fiscutean, Andrada, Paun, Mihaela
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Brexit; Polarization; Public opinion; Quasi-experiment; Spillover effects
• ISSN: 0161-8938; 1873-8060
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.11.007

In a highly interconnected world, it is important to determine how local events happening somewhere can influence the course of action in a different place. The current study approaches Brexit' spillover effect across Europe regarding Euroscepticism and Europeans' attitudes towards the EU. Through a quasi-experimental methodology, we employed the data from the eighth and the ninth edition of the European Social Survey (ESS). After March 29, 2017, when Theresa May triggered the formal mechanism for the Brexit process, in distant UK places, public opinion shifted towards believing the EU unification had gone too far. The political placement (left/right leaning) predicted the shift, while the use of the internet and the self-reported happiness level significantly and positively impacted the support for remaining in the EU. Subjectively experiencing unemployment did not contribute to Euroscepticism, but it was positively correlated with unfavourable opinions about immigration. Conversely, the affection toward Europe increased for politically right-leaning respondents who considered that immigration harms the local state and should be reduced. Self-reported quality of life (health and happiness), greater internet use, and news media consumption lead to more favourable views toward immigration and the idea that immigrants enrich the local state. The theoretical and practical implications are discussed with public policy recommendations.