Uncertainty in Lifespan Estimation and its Potential Impacts on our Social System

Information on the lifespan of the product is necessary to estimate the amount of its end-of-life (EOL) goods that recycling programs can expect to receive. Policymakers can set priorities for handling the EOLs, such as target collection and recovery levels, based on these estimates. In this study,...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Procedia CIRP 2017, Vol.61, p.140-145
Main Authors: Murakami, Shinsuke, Yamamoto, Haruhisa, Oguchi, Masahiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
EOL generation estimates
Lifespan
Recycling system design
Small-size home appliances
Uncertainty
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Summary:Information on the lifespan of the product is necessary to estimate the amount of its end-of-life (EOL) goods that recycling programs can expect to receive. Policymakers can set priorities for handling the EOLs, such as target collection and recovery levels, based on these estimates. In this study, we conducted a questionnaire survey to obtain information on lifespan distribution of small-size home appliances and then analyzed how this information impacts recycling system design. We found that the distribution estimates have a non-negligible level of uncertainty; accordingly, a recycling system must be designed to take this uncertainty into account.
ISSN:2212-8271
2212-8271
DOI:10.1016/j.procir.2016.11.229