Evaluation of the intention to shift to public transit in Saudi Arabia

•We explored the factors that influence the intention to use public transport.•We estimated fuel consumptions and pollutants emissions reductions.•Tests identified no spatial autocorrelations between intention to shift and residence location.•In total, 53% of participants were willing to shift to pu...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Transportation research. Part D, Transport and environment Transport and environment, 2021-05, Vol.94, p.102809, Article 102809
Main Authors: Halawani, Ahmed T.M., Rehimi, Ferid
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Fuel consumption
Modal shift
Public transit
Saudi Arabia
Sustainable mobility
Vehicular emission
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Summary:•We explored the factors that influence the intention to use public transport.•We estimated fuel consumptions and pollutants emissions reductions.•Tests identified no spatial autocorrelations between intention to shift and residence location.•In total, 53% of participants were willing to shift to public transportation. Public transit (PT) is the backbone of a sustainable transport system. This study aims to investigate commuters’ initial intentions to shift to PT in a car-oriented city without a PT, quantifying the direct economic and environmental impacts. The study considers data from a recent survey conducted in Medina, Saudi Arabia. Analyses are based on a stated-preference (SP) survey in conjunction with spatial analysis approaches. SP results show that 53% of participants are willing to shift to PT, with no spatial autocorrelation existing between the participants’ willingness to use PT and their residential zones. Logistic regression indicates that participants who used PT abroad are more likely to shift whenever PT becomes available in their city. Equally, gender and vehicular occupancy rate determine participants’ intention to shift to PT. The results show that for each 1% of would-be PT commuters, a reduction of 0.79% in CO2 emissions is obtained.
ISSN:1361-9209
1879-2340
DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2021.102809