Forecasting of road accident in the DVRE system

Methods of forecasting of road accidents in the Driver – Vehicle – Road – Environment (DVRE) system are suggested. The statistical method of forecasting made it possible to evaluate the influence of various factors on the accident rate, resulting in evaluation of efficiency of the proposed measures...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Transportation research procedia (Online) 2018, Vol.36, p.380-385
Main Authors: Kurakina, Elena, Evtiukov, Sergei, Rajczyk, Jaroslaw
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
accident
audit
driver-vehicle-road-environment system
forecasting
integrated approach
road traffic safety
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Summary:Methods of forecasting of road accidents in the Driver – Vehicle – Road – Environment (DVRE) system are suggested. The statistical method of forecasting made it possible to evaluate the influence of various factors on the accident rate, resulting in evaluation of efficiency of the proposed measures to improve road safety. The visual method of conflict situations enabled obtaining information on the interaction of the state parameters of subsystems. The methods of potential danger allowed obtaining actual and predicted factors of road accident risks and fatalities in road accidents on the road section under study. The changes in accident rates after implementation of road safety measures have been assessed. An integrated approach to efficient examination of places of concentration of road traffic accidents with account of methods of accident prediction is offered.
ISSN:2352-1465
2352-1465
DOI:10.1016/j.trpro.2018.12.111