Toward a Behavioral Model of "Homegrown" Radicalization Trajectories

This research note presents a dynamic risk assessment model of homegrown terrorists. The model was tested in a study of convicted "homegrown" American terrorism offenders inspired by Al Qaeda's ideology. The New York Police Department model developed by Silber and Bhatt was chosen as...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Studies in conflict and terrorism 2016, Vol.39 (1), p.67-83
Main Authors: Klausen, Jytte, Campion, Selene, Needle, Nathan, Nguyen, Giang, Libretti, Rosanne
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Al Qaeda
Cues
Extremism
Guerrilla forces
Ideology
Indexes
Islam
Islamism
Offenders
Police
Qaida (Organization)
Radicalism
Radicalization
Risk assessment
Terrorism
Terrorist organizations
Terrorists
Trajectories
Typology
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Summary:This research note presents a dynamic risk assessment model of homegrown terrorists. The model was tested in a study of convicted "homegrown" American terrorism offenders inspired by Al Qaeda's ideology. The New York Police Department model developed by Silber and Bhatt was chosen as the basis for creating a typology of overt and detectable indicators of individual behaviors widely thought to be associated with extremism. Twenty-four specific cues associated with each stage of radicalization were used to code and estimate the sequencing of behaviors and the duration of the average radicalization trajectory. Sixty-eight cases have been analyzed thus far. A decision was made to publish the initial results when it became apparent that the model was an effective tool for the evaluation of terrorist offenders.
ISSN:1057-610X
1521-0731
DOI:10.1080/1057610X.2015.1099995