Pioneering, Bandwagoning and Resisting: the preferences and actions of Chinese provinces in the implementation of macroeconomic regulation and control policies

This study determined the preferred strategies of provincial leaders when policies formulated by the central government jeopardized provincial interests, and investigated the extent to which these preferred strategies were reflected in actual actions. The theoretical preferred strategies were ascert...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Journal of contemporary China 2015-03, Vol.24 (92), p.315-337
Main Author: Wang, Chia-Chou
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Central government
China
Chinese
Decision theory
Error
Errors
Hu Jintao
Institutionalism
Leaders
Macroeconomics
Prediction
Predictions
Provinces
Provincial government
Public administration
Public policy
Rational choice
Strategic planning
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Summary:This study determined the preferred strategies of provincial leaders when policies formulated by the central government jeopardized provincial interests, and investigated the extent to which these preferred strategies were reflected in actual actions. The theoretical preferred strategies were ascertained using rational choice institutionalism as a research approach, and an analytic framework was developed comprising three dimensions: (a) provincial government predictions of central government actions; (b) the terms of office of CPC provincial committee secretaries; and (c) the connections between CPC provincial committee secretaries and Hu Jintao. The results showed that the accuracy rate of the research framework to predict the actual actions of provinces was 54.8%. Using the proposed analytic framework can reduce prediction errors by 28.1%.
ISSN:1067-0564
1469-9400
DOI:10.1080/10670564.2014.932514