Managing the transition to climate stabilization

It is becoming increasingly clear that economically efficient climate policies are unlikely to be implemented in the near term. Therefore an analysis is warranted that considers the implications of certain suboptimal transition policies. This analysis constructs a transition scenario based on realis...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Climate policy 2007-01, Vol.7 (5), p.409-428
Main Authors: RICHELS, RICHARD G., RUTHERFORD, THOMAS F., BLANFORD, GEOFFREY J., CLARKE, LEON
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
analyse de la politique énergétique
changement climatique
Climate
climate change
economic efficiency
Economic policy
efficacité économique
Energy policy
energy policy analysis
recherche et développement
Research and development
Technology
technology assessment
évaluation des technologies
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Summary:It is becoming increasingly clear that economically efficient climate policies are unlikely to be implemented in the near term. Therefore an analysis is warranted that considers the implications of certain suboptimal transition policies. This analysis constructs a transition scenario based on realistic assumptions about the current trends in policy-making. The transition is examined in the context of varying assumptions about the stringency of the target and the availability of low- or no-carbon energy technologies in the future. In addition to evaluating the effects of suboptimal policies, the transitional analysis offers new insights about the intrinsic uncertainty regarding both the appropriate stabilization target and technology.
ISSN:1469-3062
1752-7457
DOI:10.1080/14693062.2007.9685665