Forecasting the electrical energy needs in Bangka Island

Bangka Island is one of the two largest islands in Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The total population in Bangka Island in 2018 was 1146654 persons. The growth of the population every year is accompanied by an increase in electricity demand. The increase in electricity demand is also caused by ec...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:IOP conference series. Earth and environmental science 2019-10, Vol.353 (1), p.12058
Main Authors: Mahendra, R, Gusa, R F, Sunanda, W, Asmar, Arkan, F
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Economic factors
Electric power demand
Electric power generation
Electrical transmission
Electricity
Electricity consumption
Forecasting
Islands
Peak load
Population growth
Power plants
Regional development
Regional planning
Submarine cables
Substations
Citations: Items that this one cites
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Summary:Bangka Island is one of the two largest islands in Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The total population in Bangka Island in 2018 was 1146654 persons. The growth of the population every year is accompanied by an increase in electricity demand. The increase in electricity demand is also caused by economic factors, namely GDP growth and regional development factor. By using LEAP software, forecasting of electricity needs for the year 2019-2028 are obtained. The number of electricity customers grows by an average of 1.83%/year while average growth of electricity consumption is 11.697 %/year. The total electricity production in 2028 is estimated to reach 2.47GWh with peak load of 394.07 MW. The average peak load growth during 2019-2028 is 10.48%/year. Fulfillment of electricity demand will be met by the construction of 4 new types of power plants and the addition of submarine cables from Substation Tanjung Api-Api to Substation Mentok in 2020.
ISSN:1755-1307
1755-1315
DOI:10.1088/1755-1315/353/1/012058