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The spread of infection in a heterogeneous population
A simple interaction model is proposed for describing variable meeting-rates in a population exposed to a contagious disease. In comparison with the usual assumption of a uniform meeting-rate it predicts, on average, a more rapid spread of infection initially and a slower spread finally; it also pre...
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Published in: | Journal of applied probability 1982, Vol.19 (A), p.173-184 |
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Main Authors: | , |
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Subjects: | |
Citations: | Items that this one cites Items that cite this one |
Online Access: | Get full text |
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Summary: | A simple interaction model is proposed for describing variable meeting-rates in a population exposed to a contagious disease. In comparison with the usual assumption of a uniform meeting-rate it predicts, on average, a more rapid spread of infection initially and a slower spread finally; it also predicts that, for a given removal rate, an epidemic could develop among a smaller number of susceptibles. |
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ISSN: | 0021-9002 1475-6072 |
DOI: | 10.2307/3213558 |