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The spread of infection in a heterogeneous population

A simple interaction model is proposed for describing variable meeting-rates in a population exposed to a contagious disease. In comparison with the usual assumption of a uniform meeting-rate it predicts, on average, a more rapid spread of infection initially and a slower spread finally; it also pre...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of applied probability 1982, Vol.19 (A), p.173-184
Main Authors: Cane, Violet, McNamee, Rosanne
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:A simple interaction model is proposed for describing variable meeting-rates in a population exposed to a contagious disease. In comparison with the usual assumption of a uniform meeting-rate it predicts, on average, a more rapid spread of infection initially and a slower spread finally; it also predicts that, for a given removal rate, an epidemic could develop among a smaller number of susceptibles.
ISSN:0021-9002
1475-6072
DOI:10.2307/3213558