SPREAD PREDICTION OF COVID-19 IN ANDHRA PRADESH BASED ON ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMISTRY

COVID-19 had already spread throughout the world, and the novel coronavirus continues to pose a threat to the majority of countries. The current study uses the Susceptible-Exposed- Infectious-Recovered idea to assess the effects of social and economic factors, particularly the use of a medical mask,...

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Published in:Rasāyan journal of chemistry 2022-04, Vol.15 (2), p.806-812
Main Authors: Mohammad, Habibulla, Gangadhar, Ch, Mohammed, Riazuddin, Rama Krishna, K. Phani
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:COVID-19 had already spread throughout the world, and the novel coronavirus continues to pose a threat to the majority of countries. The current study uses the Susceptible-Exposed- Infectious-Recovered idea to assess the effects of social and economic factors, particularly the use of a medical mask, on the spread of COVID-19 in Andhra Pradesh. The influence of environmental parameters such as temperature and relative humidity on the number of COVID-19 cases per day is also investigated using numerical methods such as the Response surface methodology model. We provide the results of the curfew lockdown started by the Government of Andhra Pradesh for COVID19, as compared to a total lockdown scenario. As a result of the irresponsibility and crowded gatherings, the number of cases increases, stretching the mitigation period of the second wave COVID-19 spread, prolonging the curve's straightening. The Susceptible-Exposed- Infectious-Recovered model's predictions have been put to the test in a number of real-world scenarios. The fast spread of second-wave COVID-19 cases in Indian cities is similarly connected to temperature, as indicated by the well function of higher temperatures in breaking the lipid layer of coronavirus, but is severely inhibited by the critical component of social distancing, leading to uncertainty. As a result, it's critical to incorporate environmental factors into epidemiological models like Susceptible-ExposedInfectious-Recovered, as well as methodically design managed laboratory tests and modeling experiments to catch conclusive findings, assisting decision-makers and investors in developing comprehensive action plans to combat COVID-19's second wave
ISSN:0974-1496
0974-1496
DOI:10.31788/RJC.2022.1526598