COVID-19 Does Not Correlate with the Temperature

• Published in: International journal of Biomedical Engineering and Science 2024-01, Vol.11 (1), p.1-10
• Main Authors: Adrian, J, Mingxuan, Y, Ye, T, Norouzzadeh, P, Amini, M.H, Salari, M.A, Snir, E, Rahmani, B
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• ISSN: 2394-0832
• DOI: 10.5121/ijbes.2024.11101

The coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is now a global health crisis. According to the World Health Organization Situation Report, the number of Covid-19 confirmed cases reached 10,185,374 globally as of June 30, 2020.With global temperatures rising, many people expect the warmer weather to eradicate the virus, much like with the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003. But will this expectation come true? Will Covid-19 cases surge in the Fall? In this project, we evaluate the relationship between the number of Covid-19 confirmed cases and the temperature during the early part of the epidemic, from March 2020 to June 2020. The analysis is based on monthly data regarding Covid-19 cases and temperature from188 countries/regions. The correlation coefficient suggests that there is virtually no relationship. To evaluate this further, we use K-Means clustering and Random Forest Regression (RFR). K-means clusteringis used to divide the countries into 10 groups of confirmed cases. However, the groups differ substantially in monthly temperature. The RFR also found no correlation between temperature and Covid-19. We conclude that the Covid-19 has no relationship with temperature.