Effects of social distancing on the spreading of COVID-19 inferred from mobile phone data

A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing e...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Scientific reports 2021-01, Vol.11 (1), p.1661-1661, Article 1661
Main Authors: Khataee, Hamid, Scheuring, Istvan, Czirok, Andras, Neufeld, Zoltan
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
639/705/1041
692/699/255
Cell Phone
Cellular telephones
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
COVID-19 - pathology
COVID-19 - transmission
COVID-19 - virology
Disease transmission
Epidemiology
Europe - epidemiology
Geographic Information Systems
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
multidisciplinary
Pandemics
Physical Distancing
Quarantine
SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Social distancing
Travel - statistics & numerical data
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Summary:A better understanding of how the COVID-19 pandemic responds to social distancing efforts is required for the control of future outbreaks and to calibrate partial lock-downs. We present quantitative relationships between key parameters characterizing the COVID-19 epidemiology and social distancing efforts of nine selected European countries. Epidemiological parameters were extracted from the number of daily deaths data, while mitigation efforts are estimated from mobile phone tracking data. The decrease of the basic reproductive number ( R 0 ) as well as the duration of the initial exponential expansion phase of the epidemic strongly correlates with the magnitude of mobility reduction. Utilizing these relationships we decipher the relative impact of the timing and the extent of social distancing on the total death burden of the pandemic.
ISSN:2045-2322
2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-81308-2