Deforestation for oil palm increases microclimate suitability for the development of the disease vector Aedes albopictus

A major trade-off of land-use change is the potential for increased risk of infectious diseases, a.o. through impacting disease vector life-cycles. Evaluating the public health implications of land-use conversions requires spatially detailed modelling linking land-use to vector ecology. Here, we est...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Scientific reports 2023-06, Vol.13 (1), p.9514-9514, Article 9514
Main Authors: Saager, E. S., Iwamura, T., Jucker, T., Murray, K. A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
631/158/1144
631/158/1469
631/158/672
Aedes
Aedes albopictus
Animals
Aquatic insects
Conservation of Natural Resources
Deforestation
Disease Vectors
Evaporation
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Infectious diseases
Land use
Microclimate
Mosquito Vectors
multidisciplinary
Plantations
Public health
Rainforests
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Vegetable oils
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:A major trade-off of land-use change is the potential for increased risk of infectious diseases, a.o. through impacting disease vector life-cycles. Evaluating the public health implications of land-use conversions requires spatially detailed modelling linking land-use to vector ecology. Here, we estimate the impact of deforestation for oil palm cultivation on the number of life-cycle completions of Aedes albopictus via its impact on local microclimates. We apply a recently developed mechanistic phenology model to a fine-scaled (50-m resolution) microclimate dataset that includes daily temperature, rainfall and evaporation. Results of this combined model indicate that the conversion from lowland rainforest to plantations increases suitability for A. albopictus development by 10.8%, moderated to 4.7% with oil palm growth to maturity. Deforestation followed by typical plantation planting-maturation-clearance-replanting cycles is predicted to create pulses of high development suitability. Our results highlight the need to explore sustainable land-use scenarios that resolve conflicts between agricultural and human health objectives.
ISSN:2045-2322
2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-35452-6