Loading…

Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability

The shrimp fishery off the Mexican Pacific coast is the country's most important fishery from the economic standpoint. However, it faces serious problems, including the fleet’s overcapitalization and age, in addition to the environmental variability that affects the size of catches. Thus, this...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Latin american journal of aquatic research 2015-09, Vol.43 (4), p.651-661
Main Authors: Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César, Ponce-Díaz, Germán, Lluch-Belda, Daniel, Del Monte-Luna, Pablo, Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Citations: Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
cited_by cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c390t-b0791f0010b644ffe6fe322b76fa59ce112e2c3f5338b7ccd3b73ca52005ec443
cites
container_end_page 661
container_issue 4
container_start_page 651
container_title Latin american journal of aquatic research
container_volume 43
creator Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César
Ponce-Díaz, Germán
Lluch-Belda, Daniel
Del Monte-Luna, Pablo
Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo
description The shrimp fishery off the Mexican Pacific coast is the country's most important fishery from the economic standpoint. However, it faces serious problems, including the fleet’s overcapitalization and age, in addition to the environmental variability that affects the size of catches. Thus, this activity depends on a variety of factors that add uncertainty to the profitability of fishing vessels. This study aims to estimate the probability of success and economic risk of "type vessels" under two different environmental variability scenarios in the Gulf of California. The results from the economic simulation pointed to the vessel type used in Guaymas (Sonora) as the most efficient one under a neutral climate change scenario, showing a homogeneous behaviour in physical characteristics and mode of operation. By contrast, under a scenario of a monotonic rise in sea surface temperature, the shrimp fishery faces a greater risk of incurring economic losses. The simulated climate behaviour scenarios revealed that the activity involves a moderate economic profitability under the neutral scenario; however, under the warming scenario, profitability may be low or even nil due to the risks and uncertainty resulting from the influence of environmental phenomena.
doi_str_mv 10.3856/vol43-issue4-fulltext-4
format article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>proquest_doaj_</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_1598e7e48f904b07a91c71d32840e894</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><scielo_id>S0718_560X2015000400004</scielo_id><doaj_id>oai_doaj_org_article_1598e7e48f904b07a91c71d32840e894</doaj_id><sourcerecordid>3822332131</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c390t-b0791f0010b644ffe6fe322b76fa59ce112e2c3f5338b7ccd3b73ca52005ec443</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNpNUdFOHCEUnTQ20Vi_QZI-j8IAA_PYbKyamDRpa9I3wjAXly3CCszqpj_fmR1t5eUS7jmHe8-pqnOCL6jk7eUuekZrl_MIrLaj9wVeSs0-VCdYEFnzFv86enc_rs5y3uDpcErahp9Uf767_BvpnCHnRwgF6TCgMRhIRbtQ9ihaVNaA8jq5xy0qST97ZF1eQ9ojFw6969HbGbfS3tmYgtPIxJDdAMmFBwRh51IMs7r2aKeT073zruw_VR-t9hnOXutpdf_16ufqpr77dn27-nJXG9rhUvdYdMRiTHDfMmYttBZo0_SitZp3BghpoDHUckplL4wZaC-o0byZtgTDGD2tbhfdIeqN2k6L6LRXUTt1eIjpQelUnPGgCO8kCGDSdphNH-uOGEEG2kiGQXaz1sWilY0DH9UmjilMw6sfs8lqNrnBhE8Os9nmmfB5IWxTfBohl_8UIojgksqWTyixoEyKOSew_8YkWM1Jq0PSaklavSWtGP0L80Whzw</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Open Website</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>1717583865</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability</title><source>Publicly Available Content Database</source><source>SciELO</source><creator>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César ; Ponce-Díaz, Germán ; Lluch-Belda, Daniel ; Del Monte-Luna, Pablo ; Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</creator><creatorcontrib>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César ; Ponce-Díaz, Germán ; Lluch-Belda, Daniel ; Del Monte-Luna, Pablo ; Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</creatorcontrib><description>The shrimp fishery off the Mexican Pacific coast is the country's most important fishery from the economic standpoint. However, it faces serious problems, including the fleet’s overcapitalization and age, in addition to the environmental variability that affects the size of catches. Thus, this activity depends on a variety of factors that add uncertainty to the profitability of fishing vessels. This study aims to estimate the probability of success and economic risk of "type vessels" under two different environmental variability scenarios in the Gulf of California. The results from the economic simulation pointed to the vessel type used in Guaymas (Sonora) as the most efficient one under a neutral climate change scenario, showing a homogeneous behaviour in physical characteristics and mode of operation. By contrast, under a scenario of a monotonic rise in sea surface temperature, the shrimp fishery faces a greater risk of incurring economic losses. The simulated climate behaviour scenarios revealed that the activity involves a moderate economic profitability under the neutral scenario; however, under the warming scenario, profitability may be low or even nil due to the risks and uncertainty resulting from the influence of environmental phenomena.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0718-560X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 0718-560X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3856/vol43-issue4-fulltext-4</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Valparaiso: Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso</publisher><subject>análisis de sensibilidad ; camarón ; Climate change ; Climatic changes ; Decapoda ; Economics ; FISHERIES ; Fishing ; Fishing vessels ; golfo de California ; incertidumbre ; MARINE &amp; FRESHWATER BIOLOGY ; Marine crustaceans ; México ; OCEANOGRAPHY ; Physical characteristics ; Probability theory ; riesgo ; Risk assessment ; Risks ; Sea surface ; Shellfish ; Shrimp fisheries ; Studies ; Surface temperature ; Uncertainty ; Variability</subject><ispartof>Latin american journal of aquatic research, 2015-09, Vol.43 (4), p.651-661</ispartof><rights>Copyright Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso Sep 2015</rights><rights>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c390t-b0791f0010b644ffe6fe322b76fa59ce112e2c3f5338b7ccd3b73ca52005ec443</citedby></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/1717583865/fulltextPDF?pq-origsite=primo$$EPDF$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/1717583865?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,24151,25753,27924,27925,37012,44590,75126</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ponce-Díaz, Germán</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lluch-Belda, Daniel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Del Monte-Luna, Pablo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</creatorcontrib><title>Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability</title><title>Latin american journal of aquatic research</title><addtitle>Lat. Am. J. Aquat. Res</addtitle><description>The shrimp fishery off the Mexican Pacific coast is the country's most important fishery from the economic standpoint. However, it faces serious problems, including the fleet’s overcapitalization and age, in addition to the environmental variability that affects the size of catches. Thus, this activity depends on a variety of factors that add uncertainty to the profitability of fishing vessels. This study aims to estimate the probability of success and economic risk of "type vessels" under two different environmental variability scenarios in the Gulf of California. The results from the economic simulation pointed to the vessel type used in Guaymas (Sonora) as the most efficient one under a neutral climate change scenario, showing a homogeneous behaviour in physical characteristics and mode of operation. By contrast, under a scenario of a monotonic rise in sea surface temperature, the shrimp fishery faces a greater risk of incurring economic losses. The simulated climate behaviour scenarios revealed that the activity involves a moderate economic profitability under the neutral scenario; however, under the warming scenario, profitability may be low or even nil due to the risks and uncertainty resulting from the influence of environmental phenomena.</description><subject>análisis de sensibilidad</subject><subject>camarón</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic changes</subject><subject>Decapoda</subject><subject>Economics</subject><subject>FISHERIES</subject><subject>Fishing</subject><subject>Fishing vessels</subject><subject>golfo de California</subject><subject>incertidumbre</subject><subject>MARINE &amp; FRESHWATER BIOLOGY</subject><subject>Marine crustaceans</subject><subject>México</subject><subject>OCEANOGRAPHY</subject><subject>Physical characteristics</subject><subject>Probability theory</subject><subject>riesgo</subject><subject>Risk assessment</subject><subject>Risks</subject><subject>Sea surface</subject><subject>Shellfish</subject><subject>Shrimp fisheries</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Surface temperature</subject><subject>Uncertainty</subject><subject>Variability</subject><issn>0718-560X</issn><issn>0718-560X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>PIMPY</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNpNUdFOHCEUnTQ20Vi_QZI-j8IAA_PYbKyamDRpa9I3wjAXly3CCszqpj_fmR1t5eUS7jmHe8-pqnOCL6jk7eUuekZrl_MIrLaj9wVeSs0-VCdYEFnzFv86enc_rs5y3uDpcErahp9Uf767_BvpnCHnRwgF6TCgMRhIRbtQ9ihaVNaA8jq5xy0qST97ZF1eQ9ojFw6969HbGbfS3tmYgtPIxJDdAMmFBwRh51IMs7r2aKeT073zruw_VR-t9hnOXutpdf_16ufqpr77dn27-nJXG9rhUvdYdMRiTHDfMmYttBZo0_SitZp3BghpoDHUckplL4wZaC-o0byZtgTDGD2tbhfdIeqN2k6L6LRXUTt1eIjpQelUnPGgCO8kCGDSdphNH-uOGEEG2kiGQXaz1sWilY0DH9UmjilMw6sfs8lqNrnBhE8Os9nmmfB5IWxTfBohl_8UIojgksqWTyixoEyKOSew_8YkWM1Jq0PSaklavSWtGP0L80Whzw</recordid><startdate>20150901</startdate><enddate>20150901</enddate><creator>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César</creator><creator>Ponce-Díaz, Germán</creator><creator>Lluch-Belda, Daniel</creator><creator>Del Monte-Luna, Pablo</creator><creator>Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</creator><general>Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso</general><general>Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso. Facultad de Recursos Naturales. Escuela de Ciencias del Mar</general><general>Escuela de Ciencias del Mar, Facultad de Recursos Naturales, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88A</scope><scope>88I</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>BKSAR</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>CLZPN</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H95</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M2P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>PCBAR</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>GPN</scope><scope>DOA</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20150901</creationdate><title>Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability</title><author>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César ; Ponce-Díaz, Germán ; Lluch-Belda, Daniel ; Del Monte-Luna, Pablo ; Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c390t-b0791f0010b644ffe6fe322b76fa59ce112e2c3f5338b7ccd3b73ca52005ec443</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>análisis de sensibilidad</topic><topic>camarón</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climatic changes</topic><topic>Decapoda</topic><topic>Economics</topic><topic>FISHERIES</topic><topic>Fishing</topic><topic>Fishing vessels</topic><topic>golfo de California</topic><topic>incertidumbre</topic><topic>MARINE &amp; FRESHWATER BIOLOGY</topic><topic>Marine crustaceans</topic><topic>México</topic><topic>OCEANOGRAPHY</topic><topic>Physical characteristics</topic><topic>Probability theory</topic><topic>riesgo</topic><topic>Risk assessment</topic><topic>Risks</topic><topic>Sea surface</topic><topic>Shellfish</topic><topic>Shrimp fisheries</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Surface temperature</topic><topic>Uncertainty</topic><topic>Variability</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ponce-Díaz, Germán</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lluch-Belda, Daniel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Del Monte-Luna, Pablo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Aqualine</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Biology Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Science Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric &amp; Aquatic Science Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>Latin America &amp; Iberia Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Aquatic Science &amp; Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 1: Biological Sciences &amp; Living Resources</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>Aquatic Science &amp; Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Science Journals</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Journals</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric &amp; Aquatic Science Database</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><collection>SciELO</collection><collection>Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>Latin american journal of aquatic research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Almendarez-Hernández, Luis César</au><au>Ponce-Díaz, Germán</au><au>Lluch-Belda, Daniel</au><au>Del Monte-Luna, Pablo</au><au>Saldívar-Lucio, Romeo</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability</atitle><jtitle>Latin american journal of aquatic research</jtitle><addtitle>Lat. Am. J. Aquat. Res</addtitle><date>2015-09-01</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>43</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>651</spage><epage>661</epage><pages>651-661</pages><issn>0718-560X</issn><eissn>0718-560X</eissn><abstract>The shrimp fishery off the Mexican Pacific coast is the country's most important fishery from the economic standpoint. However, it faces serious problems, including the fleet’s overcapitalization and age, in addition to the environmental variability that affects the size of catches. Thus, this activity depends on a variety of factors that add uncertainty to the profitability of fishing vessels. This study aims to estimate the probability of success and economic risk of "type vessels" under two different environmental variability scenarios in the Gulf of California. The results from the economic simulation pointed to the vessel type used in Guaymas (Sonora) as the most efficient one under a neutral climate change scenario, showing a homogeneous behaviour in physical characteristics and mode of operation. By contrast, under a scenario of a monotonic rise in sea surface temperature, the shrimp fishery faces a greater risk of incurring economic losses. The simulated climate behaviour scenarios revealed that the activity involves a moderate economic profitability under the neutral scenario; however, under the warming scenario, profitability may be low or even nil due to the risks and uncertainty resulting from the influence of environmental phenomena.</abstract><cop>Valparaiso</cop><pub>Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso</pub><doi>10.3856/vol43-issue4-fulltext-4</doi><tpages>11</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 0718-560X
ispartof Latin american journal of aquatic research, 2015-09, Vol.43 (4), p.651-661
issn 0718-560X
0718-560X
language eng
recordid cdi_doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_1598e7e48f904b07a91c71d32840e894
source Publicly Available Content Database; SciELO
subjects análisis de sensibilidad
camarón
Climate change
Climatic changes
Decapoda
Economics
FISHERIES
Fishing
Fishing vessels
golfo de California
incertidumbre
MARINE & FRESHWATER BIOLOGY
Marine crustaceans
México
OCEANOGRAPHY
Physical characteristics
Probability theory
riesgo
Risk assessment
Risks
Sea surface
Shellfish
Shrimp fisheries
Studies
Surface temperature
Uncertainty
Variability
title Risk assessment and uncertainty of the shrimp trawl fishery in the Gulf of California considering environmental variability
url http://sfxeu10.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/loughborough?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-25T06%3A33%3A20IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_doaj_&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Risk%20assessment%20and%20uncertainty%20of%20the%20shrimp%20trawl%20fishery%20in%20the%20Gulf%20of%20California%20considering%20environmental%20variability&rft.jtitle=Latin%20american%20journal%20of%20aquatic%20research&rft.au=Almendarez-Hern%C3%A1ndez,%20Luis%20C%C3%A9sar&rft.date=2015-09-01&rft.volume=43&rft.issue=4&rft.spage=651&rft.epage=661&rft.pages=651-661&rft.issn=0718-560X&rft.eissn=0718-560X&rft_id=info:doi/10.3856/vol43-issue4-fulltext-4&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_doaj_%3E3822332131%3C/proquest_doaj_%3E%3Cgrp_id%3Ecdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c390t-b0791f0010b644ffe6fe322b76fa59ce112e2c3f5338b7ccd3b73ca52005ec443%3C/grp_id%3E%3Coa%3E%3C/oa%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1717583865&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_scielo_id=S0718_560X2015000400004&rfr_iscdi=true