Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)

The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and futu...

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Published in:Plants (Basel) 2023-01, Vol.12 (3), p.557
Main Authors: Pantović, Jovana P, Božović, Djordje P, Sabovljević, Marko S
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
bryophyte
Buxbaumia viridis
Climate change
Climate change models
Climate effects
Climate models
Climatic conditions
Emissions
Forest management
Forests
Geographical distribution
global warming
Habitat changes
Habitats
modelling
Mosses
Population decline
Precipitation
scarce species
SDM (species distribution modeling), range
the Balkans
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description The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.
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subjects bryophyte
Buxbaumia viridis
Climate change
Climate change models
Climate effects
Climate models
Climatic conditions
Emissions
Forest management
Forests
Geographical distribution
global warming
Habitat changes
Habitats
modelling
Mosses
Population decline
Precipitation
scarce species
SDM (species distribution modeling), range
the Balkans
title Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
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