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Derivation and validation of a risk calculator for the prediction of incidence of complications following repair of Achilles Tendon Rupture

The Achilles tendon is the body's strongest and largest tendon. It is commonly injured, particularly among athletes, accounting for a significant portion of serious tendon injuries. Several factors play a precipitating role in increasing the risk of these injuries. Our objective is to derive an...

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Published in:Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research 2024-08, Vol.19 (1), p.498-10, Article 498
Main Authors: Hemdanieh, Maya, Mzeihem, Majd, El Zouhbi, Anas, Tamim, Hani, Nassereddine, Mohamad
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:The Achilles tendon is the body's strongest and largest tendon. It is commonly injured, particularly among athletes, accounting for a significant portion of serious tendon injuries. Several factors play a precipitating role in increasing the risk of these injuries. Our objective is to derive and validate a risk calculator for the prediction of incidence of any complication following Achilles tendon repair. We used de-identified data from the American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) database from 2005 to 2021. It comprises 7010 individuals who had undergone Achilles tendon rupture repair. Demographic and risk factors information was collected. To develop the calculator, the sample was divided into a derivation cohort (40%) and a validation cohort (60%). Multivariate logistic regression was used for statistical analysis, and a risk calculator for incidence of any complication was derived from the derivation cohort and validated on the remaining 60% of the sample. Patients with missing data were excluded, and the significance level was set at p 
ISSN:1749-799X
1749-799X
DOI:10.1186/s13018-024-04921-7