Spatio-temporal evolution of the COVID-19 across African countries

The aim of this study is to make a comparative study on the reproduction number computed at the beginning of each wave for African countries and to understand the reasons for the disparities between them. The study covers the two first years of the COVID-19 pandemic and for 30 African countries. It...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Frontiers in public health 2022-11, Vol.10, p.1039925
Main Authors: Naffeti, Bechir, Bourdin, Sebastien, Ben Aribi, Walid, Kebir, Amira, Ben Miled, Slimane
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Africa
Africa - epidemiology
African People
Business administration
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
epidemiology
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Pandemics
Public Health
regional analysis
reproduction number R0
SARS-CoV-2
SIR model
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Summary:The aim of this study is to make a comparative study on the reproduction number computed at the beginning of each wave for African countries and to understand the reasons for the disparities between them. The study covers the two first years of the COVID-19 pandemic and for 30 African countries. It links pandemic variables, reproduction number , demographic variable, median age of the population, economic variables, and per capita, and climatic variables, mean temperature at the beginning of each waves. The results show that the diffusion of COVID-19 in Africa was heterogeneous even between geographical proximal countries. The difference of the basic reproduction number values is very large between countries and is significantly correlated with economic and climatic variables and temperature and to a less extent with the mean age of the population.
ISSN:2296-2565
2296-2565
DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2022.1039925