Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan

Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%–1.69% and 0.08%–8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predi...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of microbiology, immunology and infection immunology and infection, 2021-02, Vol.54 (1), p.89-92
Main Authors: Huang, Yen-Ta, Tu, Yu-Kang, Lai, Pei-Chun
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Bayes Theorem
Bayesian
Contact Tracing
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
Humans
Incidence
Meta-analysis
Pandemic
Pandemics
SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification
Secondary attack rate
Short Communication
Taiwan - epidemiology
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Summary:Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%–1.69% and 0.08%–8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues.
ISSN:1684-1182
1995-9133
DOI:10.1016/j.jmii.2020.06.003