The current and future incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in 185 countries, 2020–40: A population-based modelling study

• Published in: EClinicalMedicine 2022-05, Vol.47, p.101404-101404, Article 101404
• Main Authors: Morgan, Eileen, Arnold, Melina, Camargo, M. Constanza, Gini, Andrea, Kunzmann, Andrew T., Matsuda, Tomohiro, Meheus, Filip, Verhoeven, Rob H.A., Vignat, Jérôme, Laversanne, Mathieu, Ferlay, Jacques, Soerjomataram, Isabelle
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Epidemiology; Gastric cancer; Incidence; Mortality
• ISSN: 2589-5370; 2589-5370
• DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101404

To examine global patterns of gastric cancer in 2020 and the projected burden in 2040. Data on primary gastric cancer were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database for the year 2020. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated by sex, country, world region and level of human development index (HDI) for 185 countries. The predicted burden of incidence and mortality in 2040 was calculated based on demographic projections. In total, ∼1.1 million new cases and 770,000 deaths of gastric cancer were estimated in 2020. Incidence rates were on average 2-fold higher in males than females (15.8 and 7.0 per 100,000, respectively) with variation across countries. Highest incidence rates were observed in Eastern Asia for both males and females (32.5 and 13.2, respectively); males residing in Japan (48.1), Mongolia (47.2) and Korea (39.7) had the highest rates in the world. Incidence was lowest in Africa with incidence rates