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Multilevel and geographically weighted regression analysis of factors associated with full immunization among children aged 12–23 months in Ethiopia

Immunization is the process of building immunity or resistance to an infectious disease, typically through administering a vaccine. It is one of the most effective strategies for lowering child morbidity and death. It protects against more than 20 potentially fatal diseases, increasing longevity and...

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Published in:Scientific reports 2024-09, Vol.14 (1), p.22743-17, Article 22743
Main Authors: Diress, Fasika, Negesse, Yilkal, Worede, Daniel Tarekegn, Bekele Ketema, Daniel, Geitaneh, Wodaje, Temesgen, Habtamu
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Negesse, Yilkal
Worede, Daniel Tarekegn
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Temesgen, Habtamu
description Immunization is the process of building immunity or resistance to an infectious disease, typically through administering a vaccine. It is one of the most effective strategies for lowering child morbidity and death. It protects against more than 20 potentially fatal diseases, increasing longevity and health. Despite progress, Ethiopia failed to meet its vaccination coverage target. The magnitude of full immunization is different across areas. Therefore, conducting geographically weighted regression to identify the local factors and multilevel analysis to investigate and identify factors associated with full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months is necessary. The study was conducted using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey dataset. A sample of 1028 weighted children aged 12–23 months were included in the analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to describe variables. For the spatial analysis, Arc-GIS version 10.8 statistical software was used. Spatial regression (geographically weighted regression) was done to identify factors associated with the proportion of full immunization, and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and Akaike Information Criteria (AICc). Multilevel mixed-effect binary logistic regression models were fitted to identify factors associated with full immunization. The fitted models were compared based on log-likelihood, deviance, median odds ratio, and Proportional Change in Variance. Finally, statistically significant factors were reported using an adjusted odd ratio (AOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval for fixed effect. All variables with a p-value less than 0.05 in the final model were considered statistically significant factors. In Ethiopia, the overall full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was 40.58%, with spatial variation across regions in Ethiopia. The significant spatial distribution of full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was detected in northern Tigray, Addis Ababa, central Oromia, and southeastern Amhara regions. The proportion of rural residents,the proportion of women aged 35–44 years,  the proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above andthe proportion of women who had PNC were local factors associated with the proportion of full immunization among children aged 12–23 months. Rural residence [AOR 0.27 (95% CI 0.10, 0.70)], family size 4 and above[AOR 0.41 (95% CI 0.17, 0.96)], never breastfeed [AOR 0.026(95% CI 0.003, 0.21)], 1–3 times ANC visit
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41598-024-74189-8
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It is one of the most effective strategies for lowering child morbidity and death. It protects against more than 20 potentially fatal diseases, increasing longevity and health. Despite progress, Ethiopia failed to meet its vaccination coverage target. The magnitude of full immunization is different across areas. Therefore, conducting geographically weighted regression to identify the local factors and multilevel analysis to investigate and identify factors associated with full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months is necessary. The study was conducted using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey dataset. A sample of 1028 weighted children aged 12–23 months were included in the analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to describe variables. For the spatial analysis, Arc-GIS version 10.8 statistical software was used. Spatial regression (geographically weighted regression) was done to identify factors associated with the proportion of full immunization, and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and Akaike Information Criteria (AICc). Multilevel mixed-effect binary logistic regression models were fitted to identify factors associated with full immunization. The fitted models were compared based on log-likelihood, deviance, median odds ratio, and Proportional Change in Variance. Finally, statistically significant factors were reported using an adjusted odd ratio (AOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval for fixed effect. All variables with a p-value less than 0.05 in the final model were considered statistically significant factors. In Ethiopia, the overall full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was 40.58%, with spatial variation across regions in Ethiopia. The significant spatial distribution of full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was detected in northern Tigray, Addis Ababa, central Oromia, and southeastern Amhara regions. The proportion of rural residents,the proportion of women aged 35–44 years,  the proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above andthe proportion of women who had PNC were local factors associated with the proportion of full immunization among children aged 12–23 months. Rural residence [AOR 0.27 (95% CI 0.10, 0.70)], family size 4 and above[AOR 0.41 (95% CI 0.17, 0.96)], never breastfeed [AOR 0.026(95% CI 0.003, 0.21)], 1–3 times ANC visit [AOR 0.45 (95% CI 0.23, 0.86)], being from Oromia region [AOR 0.23 (95% CI 0.05, 0.97)], Eastern pastoralist region [AOR 0.09 (95% CI 0.023, 0.35)], age 35–44 years [(AOR 6 (95% CI 1.57, 22.9)], and PNC [AOR 2.40 (95% CI 1.24, 4.8)] were significant factors associated with fully immunization in multilevel mixed effect analysis. Full immunization coverage in Ethiopia is below the global target with significant geographical variation. The high proportion of rural residents, the high proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above, mothers who had a high proportion of PNC, and the high proportion women age 35-44 years were local geographical factors for the proportion of full immunization among children age 12–23 months in Ethiopia. Women who had PNC, ANC visits four or more times, and increased maternal age were positively associated, whereas larger family size, no breastfeeding, rural residence, and being from Oromia and eastern pastoralist region were negatively associated with full immunization. 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It is one of the most effective strategies for lowering child morbidity and death. It protects against more than 20 potentially fatal diseases, increasing longevity and health. Despite progress, Ethiopia failed to meet its vaccination coverage target. The magnitude of full immunization is different across areas. Therefore, conducting geographically weighted regression to identify the local factors and multilevel analysis to investigate and identify factors associated with full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months is necessary. The study was conducted using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey dataset. A sample of 1028 weighted children aged 12–23 months were included in the analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to describe variables. For the spatial analysis, Arc-GIS version 10.8 statistical software was used. Spatial regression (geographically weighted regression) was done to identify factors associated with the proportion of full immunization, and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and Akaike Information Criteria (AICc). Multilevel mixed-effect binary logistic regression models were fitted to identify factors associated with full immunization. The fitted models were compared based on log-likelihood, deviance, median odds ratio, and Proportional Change in Variance. Finally, statistically significant factors were reported using an adjusted odd ratio (AOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval for fixed effect. All variables with a p-value less than 0.05 in the final model were considered statistically significant factors. In Ethiopia, the overall full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was 40.58%, with spatial variation across regions in Ethiopia. The significant spatial distribution of full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was detected in northern Tigray, Addis Ababa, central Oromia, and southeastern Amhara regions. The proportion of rural residents,the proportion of women aged 35–44 years,  the proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above andthe proportion of women who had PNC were local factors associated with the proportion of full immunization among children aged 12–23 months. Rural residence [AOR 0.27 (95% CI 0.10, 0.70)], family size 4 and above[AOR 0.41 (95% CI 0.17, 0.96)], never breastfeed [AOR 0.026(95% CI 0.003, 0.21)], 1–3 times ANC visit [AOR 0.45 (95% CI 0.23, 0.86)], being from Oromia region [AOR 0.23 (95% CI 0.05, 0.97)], Eastern pastoralist region [AOR 0.09 (95% CI 0.023, 0.35)], age 35–44 years [(AOR 6 (95% CI 1.57, 22.9)], and PNC [AOR 2.40 (95% CI 1.24, 4.8)] were significant factors associated with fully immunization in multilevel mixed effect analysis. 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It is one of the most effective strategies for lowering child morbidity and death. It protects against more than 20 potentially fatal diseases, increasing longevity and health. Despite progress, Ethiopia failed to meet its vaccination coverage target. The magnitude of full immunization is different across areas. Therefore, conducting geographically weighted regression to identify the local factors and multilevel analysis to investigate and identify factors associated with full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months is necessary. The study was conducted using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey dataset. A sample of 1028 weighted children aged 12–23 months were included in the analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to describe variables. For the spatial analysis, Arc-GIS version 10.8 statistical software was used. Spatial regression (geographically weighted regression) was done to identify factors associated with the proportion of full immunization, and model comparison was based on adjusted R2 and Akaike Information Criteria (AICc). Multilevel mixed-effect binary logistic regression models were fitted to identify factors associated with full immunization. The fitted models were compared based on log-likelihood, deviance, median odds ratio, and Proportional Change in Variance. Finally, statistically significant factors were reported using an adjusted odd ratio (AOR) with a 95% Confidence Interval for fixed effect. All variables with a p-value less than 0.05 in the final model were considered statistically significant factors. In Ethiopia, the overall full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was 40.58%, with spatial variation across regions in Ethiopia. The significant spatial distribution of full immunization coverage among children aged 12–23 months was detected in northern Tigray, Addis Ababa, central Oromia, and southeastern Amhara regions. The proportion of rural residents,the proportion of women aged 35–44 years,  the proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above andthe proportion of women who had PNC were local factors associated with the proportion of full immunization among children aged 12–23 months. Rural residence [AOR 0.27 (95% CI 0.10, 0.70)], family size 4 and above[AOR 0.41 (95% CI 0.17, 0.96)], never breastfeed [AOR 0.026(95% CI 0.003, 0.21)], 1–3 times ANC visit [AOR 0.45 (95% CI 0.23, 0.86)], being from Oromia region [AOR 0.23 (95% CI 0.05, 0.97)], Eastern pastoralist region [AOR 0.09 (95% CI 0.023, 0.35)], age 35–44 years [(AOR 6 (95% CI 1.57, 22.9)], and PNC [AOR 2.40 (95% CI 1.24, 4.8)] were significant factors associated with fully immunization in multilevel mixed effect analysis. Full immunization coverage in Ethiopia is below the global target with significant geographical variation. The high proportion of rural residents, the high proportion of women who had ANC 4 and above, mothers who had a high proportion of PNC, and the high proportion women age 35-44 years were local geographical factors for the proportion of full immunization among children age 12–23 months in Ethiopia. Women who had PNC, ANC visits four or more times, and increased maternal age were positively associated, whereas larger family size, no breastfeeding, rural residence, and being from Oromia and eastern pastoralist region were negatively associated with full immunization. Strengthening maternal and child health services, focusing on rural areas and low-coverage regions, is essential to increase immunization coverage in Ethiopia.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group UK</pub><pmid>39349770</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41598-024-74189-8</doi><tpages>17</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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ispartof Scientific reports, 2024-09, Vol.14 (1), p.22743-17, Article 22743
issn 2045-2322
2045-2322
language eng
recordid cdi_doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_67c6f9300a3645ed9bd68b9e35cd9763
source Open Access: PubMed Central; Publicly Available Content Database; Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry; Springer Nature - nature.com Journals - Fully Open Access
subjects 692/699
692/700
Adolescent
Adult
Age
Breast feeding
Breastfeeding & lactation
Children
Children aged 12–23 months
Disease resistance
Ethiopia
Ethiopian demographic health survey
Families & family life
Family size
Female
Fully immunization
Geographical variations
Geographically weighted regression
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Immunization
Immunization - statistics & numerical data
Immunization Programs
Infant
Infectious diseases
Male
Morbidity
multidisciplinary
Multilevel Analysis
Regression analysis
Rural areas
Rural Population - statistics & numerical data
Rural populations
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Spatial analysis
Spatial distribution
Spatial Regression
Spatial variations
Statistical analysis
Vaccination - statistics & numerical data
Vaccination Coverage - statistics & numerical data
Vaccines
Womens health
Young Adult
title Multilevel and geographically weighted regression analysis of factors associated with full immunization among children aged 12–23 months in Ethiopia
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