Heuristic Methodology for Estimating the Liquid Biofuel Potential of a Region

This paper presents a heuristic methodology for estimating the possible variation of the liquid biofuel potential of a region, an appraisal made for a future period of time. The determination of the liquid biofuel potential has been made up either on the account of an average (constant) yield of the...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energies (Basel) 2016, Vol.9 (9), p.703-703
Main Authors: Dusmanescu, Dorel, Andrei, Jean, Popescu, Gheorghe H, Nica, Elvira, Panait, Mirela
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Agricultural production
Alternative energy sources
biodiesel
Biodiesel fuels
bioethanol
Biofuels
biofuels potential
Biomass
Diesel fuels
Emissions
Energy resources
Engines
Estimating
Financing
Fossil fuels
Fuels
Gasoline
Heuristic
heuristic methodology
Investment
liquid biofuel
Liquids
Methodology
Pollution
renewable energy sources
Renewable resources
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:This paper presents a heuristic methodology for estimating the possible variation of the liquid biofuel potential of a region, an appraisal made for a future period of time. The determination of the liquid biofuel potential has been made up either on the account of an average (constant) yield of the energetic crops that were used, or on the account of a yield that varies depending on a known trend, which can be estimated through a certain method. The proposed methodology uses the variation of the yield of energetic crops over time in order to simulate a variation of the biofuel potential for a future ten year time period. This new approach to the problem of determining the liquid biofuel potential of a certain land area can be useful for investors, as it allows making a more realistic analysis of the investment risk and of the possibilities of recovering the investment. On the other hand, the presented methodology can be useful to the governmental administration in order to elaborate strategies and policies to ensure the necessity of fuels and liquid biofuels for transportation, in a certain area. Unlike current methods, which approach the problem of determining the liquid biofuel potential in a deterministic way, by using econometric methods, the proposed methodology uses heuristic reasoning schemes in order to reduce the great number of factors that actually influence the biofuel potential and which usually have unknown values.
ISSN:1996-1073
1996-1073
DOI:10.3390/en9090703