Sensitivity of stock market indices to oil prices: Evidence from manufacturing sub-sectors in Turkey

Crude oil price is a critical cost factor for manufacturing industries that are of vital importance for economic growth. This study examines the relationship between crude oil prices and the indices of seven Turkish manufacturing sub-sectors over the period 1997:01-2009:12. The error correction mode...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Panoeconomicus 2012, Vol.59 (4), p.463-474
Main Authors: Eksi, Halil, Senturk, Mehmet, Yildirim, Semih
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Causality
Crude oil prices
Economic growth
Error correction models
Manufacturing
Manufacturing sub-sectors
Oil industry
Oil price
Stock exchange
Stock prices
Turkey
VAR
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Summary:Crude oil price is a critical cost factor for manufacturing industries that are of vital importance for economic growth. This study examines the relationship between crude oil prices and the indices of seven Turkish manufacturing sub-sectors over the period 1997:01-2009:12. The error correction model results reveal the long term causality from crude oil prices to chemical petroleum-plastic and basic metal sub-sectors indicating that these sub-sectors are highly sensitive to crude oil prices. We find no causal relationship for other sector indices for short or long time periods. nema
ISSN:1452-595X
2217-2386
DOI:10.2298/PAN1204463E