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Chlamydia trachomatis transmission between the oropharynx, urethra and anorectum in men who have sex with men: a mathematical model
It has been presumed that Chlamydia trachomatis is transmitted between men only through anal or oral sex, but no mathematical models have tested this presumption. To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal...
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Published in: | BMC medicine 2020-11, Vol.18 (1), p.326-10, Article 326 |
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description | It has been presumed that Chlamydia trachomatis is transmitted between men only through anal or oral sex, but no mathematical models have tested this presumption.
To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal sex and calibrated these models to the observed rates of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at three anatomical sites from 4888 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Melbourne Sexual Health Centre during 2018-2019.
A model that included only oral and anal sex could replicate the observed rates of single-site infection at the oropharynx, urethra and rectum alone, but could not replicate infection at more than one of these sites (multisite). However, if we included transmission from sexual practices that followed one another in the same sexual episode (e.g. saliva contamination of the penis from oral sex transmitting chlamydia to the rectum by anal sex), we significantly improved the calibration of multisite infection rates substantially.
Our modelling study suggests that transmission routes other than just oral and anal sex are necessary to explain the high rate of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at more than one site. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1186/s12916-020-01796-3 |
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To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal sex and calibrated these models to the observed rates of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at three anatomical sites from 4888 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Melbourne Sexual Health Centre during 2018-2019.
A model that included only oral and anal sex could replicate the observed rates of single-site infection at the oropharynx, urethra and rectum alone, but could not replicate infection at more than one of these sites (multisite). However, if we included transmission from sexual practices that followed one another in the same sexual episode (e.g. saliva contamination of the penis from oral sex transmitting chlamydia to the rectum by anal sex), we significantly improved the calibration of multisite infection rates substantially.
Our modelling study suggests that transmission routes other than just oral and anal sex are necessary to explain the high rate of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at more than one site.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1741-7015</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1741-7015</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1186/s12916-020-01796-3</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33198750</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: BioMed Central Ltd</publisher><subject>Anal sex ; Anatomical site ; Behavioural interventions ; Calibration ; Chlamydia ; Chlamydia infections ; Chlamydia Infections - transmission ; Chlamydia trachomatis ; Chlamydia trachomatis - pathogenicity ; Condoms ; Contamination ; Demographic aspects ; Diagnosis ; Disease transmission ; Distribution ; Gays & lesbians ; Health aspects ; Health care facilities ; Homosexuality, Male ; Humans ; Infections ; Male ; Mathematical analysis ; Mathematical models ; Men ; Men who have sex with men ; Mens health ; Models, Theoretical ; MSM (Men who have sex with men) ; Ordinary differential equations ; Oropharynx ; Oropharynx - virology ; Penis ; Rectal Diseases - virology ; Rectum ; Saliva ; Sexual practices ; Sexually transmitted diseases ; STD ; Transmission ; Urethra ; Urethra - virology</subject><ispartof>BMC medicine, 2020-11, Vol.18 (1), p.326-10, Article 326</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2020 BioMed Central Ltd.</rights><rights>2020. This work is licensed under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2020</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c594t-fe35681145edd22b08cf06a8cb72284430f91cd347490a18fcff9a87f8c828433</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c594t-fe35681145edd22b08cf06a8cb72284430f91cd347490a18fcff9a87f8c828433</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-2343-084X</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7670797/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2461930387?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,885,25753,27924,27925,37012,44590,53791,53793</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33198750$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Xu, Xianglong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chow, Eric P F</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ong, Jason J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hoebe, Christian J P A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zou, Zhuoru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hocking, Jane S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fairley, Christopher K</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Lei</creatorcontrib><title>Chlamydia trachomatis transmission between the oropharynx, urethra and anorectum in men who have sex with men: a mathematical model</title><title>BMC medicine</title><addtitle>BMC Med</addtitle><description>It has been presumed that Chlamydia trachomatis is transmitted between men only through anal or oral sex, but no mathematical models have tested this presumption.
To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal sex and calibrated these models to the observed rates of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at three anatomical sites from 4888 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Melbourne Sexual Health Centre during 2018-2019.
A model that included only oral and anal sex could replicate the observed rates of single-site infection at the oropharynx, urethra and rectum alone, but could not replicate infection at more than one of these sites (multisite). However, if we included transmission from sexual practices that followed one another in the same sexual episode (e.g. saliva contamination of the penis from oral sex transmitting chlamydia to the rectum by anal sex), we significantly improved the calibration of multisite infection rates substantially.
Our modelling study suggests that transmission routes other than just oral and anal sex are necessary to explain the high rate of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at more than one site.</description><subject>Anal sex</subject><subject>Anatomical site</subject><subject>Behavioural interventions</subject><subject>Calibration</subject><subject>Chlamydia</subject><subject>Chlamydia infections</subject><subject>Chlamydia Infections - transmission</subject><subject>Chlamydia trachomatis</subject><subject>Chlamydia trachomatis - pathogenicity</subject><subject>Condoms</subject><subject>Contamination</subject><subject>Demographic aspects</subject><subject>Diagnosis</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Distribution</subject><subject>Gays & lesbians</subject><subject>Health aspects</subject><subject>Health care facilities</subject><subject>Homosexuality, Male</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Infections</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Mathematical analysis</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>Men</subject><subject>Men who have sex with men</subject><subject>Mens health</subject><subject>Models, Theoretical</subject><subject>MSM (Men who have sex with men)</subject><subject>Ordinary differential equations</subject><subject>Oropharynx</subject><subject>Oropharynx - virology</subject><subject>Penis</subject><subject>Rectal Diseases - virology</subject><subject>Rectum</subject><subject>Saliva</subject><subject>Sexual practices</subject><subject>Sexually transmitted diseases</subject><subject>STD</subject><subject>Transmission</subject><subject>Urethra</subject><subject>Urethra - virology</subject><issn>1741-7015</issn><issn>1741-7015</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>PIMPY</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNptUsFq3DAQNaWlSdP-QA9FUOipTiXLtuQeAmFp0kCgl_YsZGm00mJbW0nOJuf-eOVsGnahCCExevM0b-YVxXuCzwnh7ZdIqo60Ja5wiQnr2pK-KE4Jq0nJMGleHtxPijcxbjCuGsbq18UJpaTjrMGnxZ-VHeT4oJ1EKUhl_SiTi8t9iqOL0fkJ9ZB2ABNKFpAPfmtleJjuP6M5QLJBIjnpvH0AleYRuQmNGbyzHll5ByjCPdq5ZJfoVyRR_sDC8ouSAxq9huFt8crIIcK7p_Os-HX17efqe3n74_pmdXlbqqarU2mANi0npG5A66rqMVcGt5KrnlUVr2uKTUeUpjWrOywJN8qYTnJmuOL5ndKz4mbPq73ciG1wYxYivHTiMeDDWsiQ6xpAcG0w9JqAUVC3PedUSYNVpXCLodNN5rrYc23nfgStYMotG45Ij18mZ8Xa3wnWMsw6lgk-PhEE_3uGmMTGz2HK-kVVt6SjmPID1Frmqtxk_DKlPBglLts6y85ki7Dz_6Dy0jA65ScwLsePEj4dJFiQQ7LRD3PK447HwGoPVMHHGMA8KyRYLCYUexOKbELxaEKxJH047M1zyj_X0b8lhtjO</recordid><startdate>20201117</startdate><enddate>20201117</enddate><creator>Xu, Xianglong</creator><creator>Chow, Eric P F</creator><creator>Ong, Jason J</creator><creator>Hoebe, Christian J P A</creator><creator>Zou, Zhuoru</creator><creator>Hocking, Jane S</creator><creator>Fairley, Christopher K</creator><creator>Zhang, Lei</creator><general>BioMed Central Ltd</general><general>BioMed Central</general><general>BMC</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>5PM</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2343-084X</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20201117</creationdate><title>Chlamydia trachomatis transmission between the oropharynx, urethra and anorectum in men who have sex with men: a mathematical model</title><author>Xu, Xianglong ; Chow, Eric P F ; Ong, Jason J ; Hoebe, Christian J P A ; Zou, Zhuoru ; Hocking, Jane S ; Fairley, Christopher K ; Zhang, Lei</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c594t-fe35681145edd22b08cf06a8cb72284430f91cd347490a18fcff9a87f8c828433</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Anal sex</topic><topic>Anatomical site</topic><topic>Behavioural interventions</topic><topic>Calibration</topic><topic>Chlamydia</topic><topic>Chlamydia infections</topic><topic>Chlamydia Infections - transmission</topic><topic>Chlamydia trachomatis</topic><topic>Chlamydia trachomatis - pathogenicity</topic><topic>Condoms</topic><topic>Contamination</topic><topic>Demographic aspects</topic><topic>Diagnosis</topic><topic>Disease transmission</topic><topic>Distribution</topic><topic>Gays & lesbians</topic><topic>Health aspects</topic><topic>Health care facilities</topic><topic>Homosexuality, Male</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Infections</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Mathematical analysis</topic><topic>Mathematical models</topic><topic>Men</topic><topic>Men who have sex with men</topic><topic>Mens health</topic><topic>Models, Theoretical</topic><topic>MSM (Men who have sex with men)</topic><topic>Ordinary differential equations</topic><topic>Oropharynx</topic><topic>Oropharynx - virology</topic><topic>Penis</topic><topic>Rectal Diseases - virology</topic><topic>Rectum</topic><topic>Saliva</topic><topic>Sexual practices</topic><topic>Sexually transmitted diseases</topic><topic>STD</topic><topic>Transmission</topic><topic>Urethra</topic><topic>Urethra - 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To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal sex and calibrated these models to the observed rates of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at three anatomical sites from 4888 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Melbourne Sexual Health Centre during 2018-2019.
A model that included only oral and anal sex could replicate the observed rates of single-site infection at the oropharynx, urethra and rectum alone, but could not replicate infection at more than one of these sites (multisite). However, if we included transmission from sexual practices that followed one another in the same sexual episode (e.g. saliva contamination of the penis from oral sex transmitting chlamydia to the rectum by anal sex), we significantly improved the calibration of multisite infection rates substantially.
Our modelling study suggests that transmission routes other than just oral and anal sex are necessary to explain the high rate of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at more than one site.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>BioMed Central Ltd</pub><pmid>33198750</pmid><doi>10.1186/s12916-020-01796-3</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2343-084X</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Anal sex Anatomical site Behavioural interventions Calibration Chlamydia Chlamydia infections Chlamydia Infections - transmission Chlamydia trachomatis Chlamydia trachomatis - pathogenicity Condoms Contamination Demographic aspects Diagnosis Disease transmission Distribution Gays & lesbians Health aspects Health care facilities Homosexuality, Male Humans Infections Male Mathematical analysis Mathematical models Men Men who have sex with men Mens health Models, Theoretical MSM (Men who have sex with men) Ordinary differential equations Oropharynx Oropharynx - virology Penis Rectal Diseases - virology Rectum Saliva Sexual practices Sexually transmitted diseases STD Transmission Urethra Urethra - virology |
title | Chlamydia trachomatis transmission between the oropharynx, urethra and anorectum in men who have sex with men: a mathematical model |
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