Small-Scale Modelling of Individual Greenhouse Gas Abatement Measures in Industry

The dynamic bottom-up modelling of greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement measures in industry makes it possible to derive consistent transformation paths on the basis of heterogeneous, process-specific developments. The main focus is on the development of a transparent methodology for small-scale modelling...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energies (Basel) 2020-04, Vol.13 (7), p.1619
Main Author: Hübner, Tobias
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Capital costs
combination methodology of GHG abatement measures
Decision making
defossilisation
Economic models
Emissions
Energy consumption
Energy economics
Energy efficiency
energy transition
Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse gases
Industrial applications
Industrial production
industrial transformation paths
industry modelling of greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement measures
Investments
Macroeconomics
Market penetration
Methodology
Modelling
sector model industry (SmInd)
Technology
Utility functions
Value added
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Summary:The dynamic bottom-up modelling of greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement measures in industry makes it possible to derive consistent transformation paths on the basis of heterogeneous, process-specific developments. The main focus is on the development of a transparent methodology for small-scale modelling and combination of individual GHG abatement measures. In this way, interactions between GHG abatement measures are taken into account when deriving industrial transformation paths. The presented three-part methodological approach comprises the preparation (1) and implementation (2) of GHG abatement measures as well as the resulting effects on the output parameters (3) in a technology mix module. In order to consider interactions in the measures implementation, year-specific overall measure matrices are created and prioritised based on the GHG abatement costs. Finally, the three-part methodology is tested in a consistent technology mix scenario. The results show that the methodology enables integrated industrial technology mix scenarios with a high level of climate ambition based on a plausible development of energy consumption and emissions. Compared to the reference scenario, the process-and energy-related emissions decrease by 90 million tCO2 (77% of the 1990 level in 2050). The developed methodology and the related technology mix scenario within the framework of the bottom-up industry model SmInd can support strategic decision-making in politics and an efficient transition to a greenhouse gas neutral industry.
ISSN:1996-1073
1996-1073
DOI:10.3390/en13071619