Advanced hybrid CNN-Bi-LSTM model augmented with GA and FFO for enhanced cyclone intensity forecasting

• Published in: Alexandria engineering journal 2024-04, Vol.92, p.346-357
• Main Authors: Alijoyo, Franciskus Antonius, Gongada, Taviti Naidu, Kaur, Chamandeep, Mageswari, N., Sekhar, J.C., Ramesh, Janjhyam Venkata Naga, El-Ebiary, Yousef A.Baker, Ulmas, Zoirov
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Bidirectional LSTM; Cyclone intensity; Disaster preparedness; Fruit fly optimizer; Genetic algorithm
• ISSN: 1110-0168
• DOI: 10.1016/j.aej.2024.02.062

Predicting cyclone intensity is an important aspect of weather forecasting since it influences disaster preparation and response. This framework addresses the pressing need for precise cyclone intensity prediction by presenting a unique predictive model based on a hybrid CNN and Bi-LSTM architecture optimized using a Genetic Algorithm (GA) enhanced Fruit Fly Optimizer (FFO). Existing methods have primarily relied on traditional machine learning models and meteorological data, demonstrating limitations in capturing the complex spatial-temporal patterns inherent in cyclone evolution. These drawbacks include insufficient feature extraction abilities, underutilization of convolutional neural networks (CNN), and poor model tuning. This unique method incorporates a hybrid CNN and Bi-LSTM architecture that is tuned by a Genetic Algorithm (GA) enhanced Fruit Fly Optimizer (FFO), resulting in higher cyclone intensity prediction accuracy. The experimental results are implemented in Python software, and they reveal that this method outperforms current models by an average of 21% when compared to existing methods such as VGG-16 achieved an accuracy of 78% and Ty 5-CNN (95.23%). The suggested CNN-Bi-LSTM model predicts cyclone strength with an excellent accuracy of 99.4%. This unique approach offers a possible avenue for increasing cyclone intensity prediction, hence improving disaster preparedness and risk mitigation efforts in sensitive locations.