Thirty years of change in HIV incidence among adults in the Kyamulibwa General Population Cohort in rural southwest Uganda, 1989-2021

• Published in: International journal of infectious diseases 2023-04, Vol.129, p.125-134
• Main Authors: Kasamba, Ivan, Mugisha, Joseph, Abaasa, Andrew, Makanga, Ronald, Ruzagira, Eugene, Kaleebu, Pontiano, Seeley, Janet, Newton, Robert
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: 95-95-95; Adolescent; Adult; Child, Preschool; Cohort Studies; Female; HIV; HIV Infections - drug therapy; HIV Infections - epidemiology; HIV Infections - prevention & control; HIV Seropositivity; Humans; Incidence; Male; Prevalence; Prevention; Rural Population; Trends; Uganda - epidemiology
• ISSN: 1201-9712; 1878-3511
• DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.01.029

•We showed a downward trend in HIV incidence over three decades since the early 1990s.•The rates of decline in HIV incidence varied over time and by sex and age.•The downward HIV incidence trends were concurrent with timely initiation of antiretroviral therapy.•Regular HIV testing enabled a higher proportion of people living with HIV who know their HIV status. To document the changes in HIV incidence over thirty years in Kalungu district, Uganda. Since 1989, residents aged ≥15 years old have been tested for HIV, and data were collected on HIV risk factors annually and later, biennially in the Kyamulibwa open cohort. In the 2019-2021 survey, people living with HIV self-reported on knowledge of their HIV status, antiretroviral therapy (ART) use, and their most recent viral load data were obtained from health facilities. The HIV seroconversion dates were randomly imputed between the last negative and first positive test dates using a uniform distribution. Among 20,959 residents who were HIV-negative, 669 seroconverted within 176,659 person-years. Data showed a downward trend in age-adjusted HIV incidence over 30 years (P