Medium-Term Artificial Intelligence and Society

There has been extensive attention to near-term and long-term AI technology and its accompanying societal issues, but the medium-term has gone largely overlooked. This paper develops the concept of medium-term AI, evaluates its importance, and analyzes some medium-term societal issues. Medium-term A...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Information (Basel) 2020-06, Vol.11 (6), p.290
Main Author: Baum, Seth D.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Artificial intelligence
Hypotheses
intermediate-term AI
Long term
long-term AI
medium-term AI
mid-term AI
near-term AI
Researchers
societal implications of AI
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Summary:There has been extensive attention to near-term and long-term AI technology and its accompanying societal issues, but the medium-term has gone largely overlooked. This paper develops the concept of medium-term AI, evaluates its importance, and analyzes some medium-term societal issues. Medium-term AI can be important in its own right and as a topic that can bridge the sometimes acrimonious divide between those who favor attention to near-term AI and those who prefer the long-term. The paper proposes the medium-term AI hypothesis: the medium-term is important from the perspectives of those who favor attention to near-term AI as well as those who favor attention to long-term AI. The paper analyzes medium-term AI in terms of governance institutions, collective action, corporate AI development, and military/national security communities. Across portions of these four areas, some support for the medium-term AI hypothesis is found, though in some cases the matter is unclear.
ISSN:2078-2489
2078-2489
DOI:10.3390/info11060290