Could Crime Risk Be Propagated across Crime Types?

It has long been acknowledged that crimes of the same type tend to be committed at the same location or proximity in a short period. However, the investigation of whether this phenomenon exists across crime types remains limited. The spatial-temporal clustered patterns for two types of crimes in pub...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:ISPRS international journal of geo-information 2019-05, Vol.8 (5), p.203
Main Authors: Wang, Zengli, Zhang, Hong
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Burglary
Crime
Crime prevention
Criminology
Hot spots
Hypotheses
Motor vehicles
pocket-picking
repeat and near-repeat
Risk
Robbery
spatial temporal hotspot
Theft
vehicle/motor vehicle theft
Victimization
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Summary:It has long been acknowledged that crimes of the same type tend to be committed at the same location or proximity in a short period. However, the investigation of whether this phenomenon exists across crime types remains limited. The spatial-temporal clustered patterns for two types of crimes in public areas (pocket-picking and vehicle/motor vehicle theft) are separately examined. Compared with existing research, this study contributes to current research from three aspects: (1) The repeat and near-repeat phenomenon exists in two types of crimes in a large Chinese city. (2) A significant spatial-temporal interaction between pocket-picking and vehicle/motor vehicle theft exists within a range of 100 m. Some cross-crime type interactions seem to have a stronger ability of prediction than does single-crime type interaction. (3) A risk-avoiding activity is identified after spatial-temporal hotspots of another crime type. The spatial extent with increased risk is limited to a certain distance from the previous hotspots. The experimental results are analyzed and interpreted with current criminology theories.
ISSN:2220-9964
2220-9964
DOI:10.3390/ijgi8050203