Development and Validation of a Predictive Score for Three-Year Mortality in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients

• Published in: Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) Lithuania), 2024-08, Vol.60 (9), p.1413
• Main Authors: Bârsan, Ioana Cristina, Iluţ, Silvina, Tohănean, Nicoleta, Pop, Raluca Maria, Vesa, Ştefan Cristian, Perju-Dumbravă, Lăcrămioara
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: acute ischemic stroke; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Biomarkers; Biomarkers - analysis; Biomarkers - blood; Care and treatment; Cytokines; Diabetes; Diagnosis, Laboratory; Diagnostic imaging; Disease; Female; Hemoglobin; Humans; Ischemia; Ischemic Stroke - blood; Ischemic Stroke - mortality; Leptin - blood; Male; Mathematical models; Metabolism; Methods; Middle Aged; Mortality; Nomography (Mathematics); Oxidative stress; predictive score; Predictive Value of Tests; Prognosis; Regression analysis; resistin; Resistin - blood; Risk factors; Software; Stroke; Stroke patients; Tumor necrosis factor-TNF
• ISSN: 1648-9144; 1010-660X; 1648-9144
• DOI: 10.3390/medicina60091413

: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a leading cause of death and disability with poor long-term outcomes. Creating a predictive score for long-term mortality in AIS might be important for optimizing treatment strategies. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS using several demographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging parameters. : This study included 244 AIS patients admitted to a tertiary center and followed up for three years. The patients' data included demographics, clinical features, laboratory tests (including resistin and leptin levels) and imaging parameters. The patients were randomly divided into a predictive group (n = 164) and a validation group (n = 80). : Advanced age, a high NIHSS score, low levels of hemoglobin, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were independently associated with three-year mortality. The predictive model incorporated these variables, and it was validated in a separate cohort. Leptin levels did not significantly predict mortality. : This study developed and validated a promising predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS. Advanced age, high NIHSS scores, low hemoglobin levels, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were the independent predictors of long-term mortality.