Consequences of COVID-19 on banking sector index: Artificial neural network model

The World Health Organization officially declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on 11 March 2020. In this study, we examine the effect of COVID-19 indicators and policy response on the Saudi banking index. COVID-19 variables that were applied are: new confirmed and fatal COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia;...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:International journal of financial studies 2021-12, Vol.9 (4), p.1-16
Main Authors: Assous, Hamzeh F, Al-Najjar, Dania
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
ANN
confirmed cases
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
death cases
decrease in interest rates
lockdown
Neural networks
Pandemics
regulations
Saudi banking sector
Stock exchanges
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Summary:The World Health Organization officially declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on 11 March 2020. In this study, we examine the effect of COVID-19 indicators and policy response on the Saudi banking index. COVID-19 variables that were applied are: new confirmed and fatal COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia; lockdowns; first and second decreases in interest rates; regulations, and oil prices. We implemented the analysis by running a stepwise regression analysis then building an artificial neural network (ANN) model. According to regression findings, oil prices and new confirmed cases have had a significant positive effect on the Saudi banking index. Nevertheless, the lockdown announcements in Saudi Arabia and the first decrease in interest rates had a significant negative effect on the Saudi banking index. To enhance the performance of the linear regression model, the ANN model was built. Findings showed that the ranking of the variables in terms of their importance is: oil price, number of confirmed cases, lockdown announcements, decrease in interest rates, and lastly, regulations.
ISSN:2227-7072
2227-7072
DOI:10.3390/ijfs9040067