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Estimation of Economic Indicator Announced by Government From Social Big Data
We introduce a systematic method to estimate an economic indicator from the Japanese government by analyzing big Japanese blog data. Explanatory variables are monthly word frequencies. We adopt 1352 words in the section of economics and industry of the Nikkei thesaurus for each candidate word to ill...
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| Published in: | Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) Switzerland), 2018-11, Vol.20 (11), p.852 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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| cited_by | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-5c69567eb7a2cb79d363ad93b17081e01d90ee19c1203c486a1fd8b06851e3283 |
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| cites | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c446t-5c69567eb7a2cb79d363ad93b17081e01d90ee19c1203c486a1fd8b06851e3283 |
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| container_issue | 11 |
| container_start_page | 852 |
| container_title | Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) |
| container_volume | 20 |
| creator | Yamada, Kenta Takayasu, Hideki Takayasu, Misako |
| description | We introduce a systematic method to estimate an economic indicator from the Japanese government by analyzing big Japanese blog data. Explanatory variables are monthly word frequencies. We adopt 1352 words in the section of economics and industry of the Nikkei thesaurus for each candidate word to illustrate the economic index. From this large volume of words, our method automatically selects the words which have strong correlation with the economic indicator and resolves some difficulties in statistics such as the spurious correlation and overfitting. As a result, our model reasonably illustrates the real economy index. The announcement of an economic index from government usually has a time lag, while our proposed method can be real time. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3390/e20110852 |
| format | article |
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| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1099-4300 |
| ispartof | Entropy (Basel, Switzerland), 2018-11, Vol.20 (11), p.852 |
| issn | 1099-4300 1099-4300 |
| language | eng |
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| source | Publicly Available Content Database; PubMed Central; Directory of Open Access Journals |
| subjects | big blog data Big Data Blogs Earthquakes Economic analysis economic index Economic models Feature selection Regression analysis robust variable selection Standard deviation Time lag Time series Trends Variables |
| title | Estimation of Economic Indicator Announced by Government From Social Big Data |
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