The Readiness Enhancement Model: A Personnel Inventory Projection Model of the Army's Reserve Components

• Main Author: Shukiar, Herbert J
• Format: Report
• Language: English
• Subjects: ACTIVE DUTY; ALGORITHMS; ARMY PERSONNEL; ARMY PLANNING; ATTRITION; COMPARISON; COMPUTATIONS; COMPUTER PROGRAMS; COSTS; DATA PROCESSING; ENLISTED PERSONNEL; ESTIMATES; FORECASTING; INVENTORY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; Military Forces and Organizations; MILITARY FORCES(UNITED STATES); MILITARY OCCUPATIONAL SPECIALTIES; Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics; MILITARY REQUIREMENTS; MILITARY RESERVES; MILITARY TRAINING; OPERATIONAL READINESS; Operations Research; PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT; Personnel Management and Labor Relations; PERSONNEL RETENTION; PROBABILITY; QUALIFICATIONS; RATES; RECRUITING; SPREADSHEETS; STEADY STATE

The Readiness Enhancement Model is a spreadsheet-based personnel inventory projection model of the Reserve Component enlisted inventory. It allows the analyst to estimate the effect on Reserve Component duty MOS qualification rates, job experience and annual recruiting and training requirements of changes in the use of prior active duty personnel and in the rate of personnel turnover, i.e., attrition and job turbulence. The Reserve Component enlisted inventory is projected into the future on an annual basis until the inventory reaches a steady state. The inventory is characterized in terms of grade, duty MOS qualification status, nonprior and prior active service status, and accession status (newly accessed soldiers are distinguished from those in the force at least one year). Transition probabilities govern the inventory projection, reflecting how soldiers change duty MOS qualification status, jobs, and grade. The transition probabilities also govern attrition from the enlisted force. The analyst can impose changes in attrition, job turbulence, and promotions by using transition probability adjustment factors. The initial inventory, active duty experience and the duty MOS qualification status of accessions can also be altered through the use of other adjustment factors. Auxiliary spreadsheets enable the analyst to estimate several measures of merit, including accession and training requirements and their related costs, job experience levels (measured in full-time equivalent years), and the effects of reduced attrition on accessions. The analyst can also direct the use of several alternative base cases as the basis of comparison for a specific inventory projection. This report describes the model. It describes all model inputs. It conceptually describes the computational algorithms used and how those algorithms are reflected in the spreadsheet itself.