Technology roadmapping in security and defence foresight

Purpose This paper aims to provide an analysis of Spanish Defence National Foresight Exercise. Design/methodology/approach The analysis is based on a content analysis of public domain Spanish Defence National Foresight Exercise, and a study directed to analyse the impact on defence technological and...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Foresight (Cambridge) 2018-11, Vol.20 (6), p.635-647
Main Authors: Vicente Oliva, Silvia, Martinez-Sanchez, Angel
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Citizen participation
Climate change
Competition
Content analysis
Contractors
Decision making
Defense
Defense industry
Defense programs
Geopolitics
Impact analysis
Innovations
Participation
Politics
Public domain
R&D
Research & development
Security
Studies
Technological change
Technology
Trends
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Summary:Purpose This paper aims to provide an analysis of Spanish Defence National Foresight Exercise. Design/methodology/approach The analysis is based on a content analysis of public domain Spanish Defence National Foresight Exercise, and a study directed to analyse the impact on defence technological and industrial base. Findings Foresight studies on the defence and security environment uses hybrid methodologies, but rarely involve all the stakeholders, and specially the citizens. The authors place a particular emphasis on the impact of these defence and security foresight studies, and following policies to increase the competitiveness and advanced technologies in the future. The analysis of the Spanish contractors allows an evaluation of the roadmaps as a policy instrument for the industrial defence industry. The main challenges for the next exercises in the European countries are to increase the interest in the firms’ intelligence systems, and the participation and representation of citizens as a way to guarantee their rights. Therefore, a technology roadmap must be complemented with other more participative foresight methods. Originality/value Foresight studies on the defence and security environment have been the subject of very few systematic analyses of impact. This paper makes a contribution to such analysis.
ISSN:1463-6689
1465-9832
DOI:10.1108/FS-12-2017-0074