Statistical modelling of the main features of the Artemisia pollen season in Wrocław, Poland, during the 2002–2011 time period

The aim of this article is to present statistical forecasting models concerning the dynamics of Artemisia pollen seasons in Wrocław, including the start and end, the date of maximum pollen concentration and seasonal pollen index (SPI). For statistical evaluation, use was made of aerobiological and m...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Theoretical and applied climatology 2015-02, Vol.119 (3-4), p.419-432
Main Authors: Drzeniecka-Osiadacz, Anetta, Krynicka, Justyna, Malkiewicz, Małgorzata, Klaczak, Kamilla, Migała, Krzysztof
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Aquatic Pollution
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Atmospheric Sciences
Climatology
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Original Paper
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
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Summary:The aim of this article is to present statistical forecasting models concerning the dynamics of Artemisia pollen seasons in Wrocław, including the start and end, the date of maximum pollen concentration and seasonal pollen index (SPI). For statistical evaluation, use was made of aerobiological and meteorological data from the last 10 years (2002–2011). Based on this data, agroclimatic indicators, i.e. crop heat units (CHUs), were determined for various averaging periods. The beginning of the Artemisia pollen season in the studied time period, on average, took place on 23 June. Its length usually varied between 26 and 45 days, and maximum daily concentrations occurred between 31 July and 18 August. It was found that the beginning of the pollen season depends, above all, on the values of CHUs and photothermal unit (PTU) ( p  
ISSN:0177-798X
1434-4483
DOI:10.1007/s00704-014-1109-z