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The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation

Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using d...

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Published in:PloS one 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0134233-e0134233
Main Authors: Wang, Xiao Yu, Guo, Yuming, FitzGerald, Gerry, Aitken, Peter, Tippett, Vivienne, Chen, Dong, Wang, Xiaoming, Tong, Shilu
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cited_by cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c585t-71a60594a25b9dd487550c4fcfa21633101b0537f21dfc44c75b557a77e1565a3
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Guo, Yuming
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description Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using different study periods in the three largest Australian cities (Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney). Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality. Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data. The findings may have implications for developing standard approaches to evaluating the heatwave-mortality relationship and advancing heat health warning systems. It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences.
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However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using different study periods in the three largest Australian cities (Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney). Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality. Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data. 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It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0134233</identifier><identifier>PMID: 26217945</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Analysis ; Australia ; Biometeorology ; Central business districts ; Cities ; Climate Change ; Definitions ; Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Epidemiology ; Extreme Heat - adverse effects ; Government agencies ; Health aspects ; Heat ; Heat waves ; Hospitalization - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Humans ; Humidity ; Investigations ; Models, Theoretical ; Mortality ; Mortality - trends ; Outdoor air quality ; Population ; Public health ; Seasons ; Social work ; Studies ; Summer ; Survival Rate ; Time Factors ; Time series ; Warm seasons ; Warning systems</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0134233-e0134233</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2015 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2015 Wang et al. 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source Publicly Available Content Database; PubMed Central; Sociological Abstracts
subjects Analysis
Australia
Biometeorology
Central business districts
Cities
Climate Change
Definitions
Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics & numerical data
Epidemiology
Extreme Heat - adverse effects
Government agencies
Health aspects
Heat
Heat waves
Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data
Humans
Humidity
Investigations
Models, Theoretical
Mortality
Mortality - trends
Outdoor air quality
Population
Public health
Seasons
Social work
Studies
Summer
Survival Rate
Time Factors
Time series
Warm seasons
Warning systems
title The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation
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