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The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation
Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using d...
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Published in: | PloS one 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0134233-e0134233 |
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creator | Wang, Xiao Yu Guo, Yuming FitzGerald, Gerry Aitken, Peter Tippett, Vivienne Chen, Dong Wang, Xiaoming Tong, Shilu |
description | Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using different study periods in the three largest Australian cities (Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney).
Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality.
Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data.
The findings may have implications for developing standard approaches to evaluating the heatwave-mortality relationship and advancing heat health warning systems. It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0134233 |
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Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality.
Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data.
The findings may have implications for developing standard approaches to evaluating the heatwave-mortality relationship and advancing heat health warning systems. It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0134233</identifier><identifier>PMID: 26217945</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Analysis ; Australia ; Biometeorology ; Central business districts ; Cities ; Climate Change ; Definitions ; Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics & numerical data ; Epidemiology ; Extreme Heat - adverse effects ; Government agencies ; Health aspects ; Heat ; Heat waves ; Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data ; Humans ; Humidity ; Investigations ; Models, Theoretical ; Mortality ; Mortality - trends ; Outdoor air quality ; Population ; Public health ; Seasons ; Social work ; Studies ; Summer ; Survival Rate ; Time Factors ; Time series ; Warm seasons ; Warning systems</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0134233-e0134233</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2015 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2015 Wang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2015 Wang et al 2015 Wang et al</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c585t-71a60594a25b9dd487550c4fcfa21633101b0537f21dfc44c75b557a77e1565a3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c585t-71a60594a25b9dd487550c4fcfa21633101b0537f21dfc44c75b557a77e1565a3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/1699513767/fulltextPDF?pq-origsite=primo$$EPDF$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/1699513767?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,881,25731,27321,27901,27902,33751,36989,36990,44566,53766,53768,75096</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26217945$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Wang, Xiao Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guo, Yuming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>FitzGerald, Gerry</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aitken, Peter</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tippett, Vivienne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Dong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Xiaoming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tong, Shilu</creatorcontrib><title>The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation</title><title>PloS one</title><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><description>Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using different study periods in the three largest Australian cities (Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney).
Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality.
Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data.
The findings may have implications for developing standard approaches to evaluating the heatwave-mortality relationship and advancing heat health warning systems. It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences.</description><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Australia</subject><subject>Biometeorology</subject><subject>Central business districts</subject><subject>Cities</subject><subject>Climate Change</subject><subject>Definitions</subject><subject>Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Extreme Heat - adverse effects</subject><subject>Government agencies</subject><subject>Health aspects</subject><subject>Heat</subject><subject>Heat waves</subject><subject>Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Humidity</subject><subject>Investigations</subject><subject>Models, Theoretical</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Outdoor air quality</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Public 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Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation</title><author>Wang, Xiao Yu ; Guo, Yuming ; FitzGerald, Gerry ; Aitken, Peter ; Tippett, Vivienne ; Chen, Dong ; Wang, Xiaoming ; Tong, Shilu</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c585t-71a60594a25b9dd487550c4fcfa21633101b0537f21dfc44c75b557a77e1565a3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>Australia</topic><topic>Biometeorology</topic><topic>Central business districts</topic><topic>Cities</topic><topic>Climate Change</topic><topic>Definitions</topic><topic>Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Epidemiology</topic><topic>Extreme Heat - adverse effects</topic><topic>Government agencies</topic><topic>Health aspects</topic><topic>Heat</topic><topic>Heat waves</topic><topic>Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Humidity</topic><topic>Investigations</topic><topic>Models, Theoretical</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Mortality - trends</topic><topic>Outdoor air quality</topic><topic>Population</topic><topic>Public health</topic><topic>Seasons</topic><topic>Social work</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Summer</topic><topic>Survival Rate</topic><topic>Time Factors</topic><topic>Time series</topic><topic>Warm seasons</topic><topic>Warning systems</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Wang, Xiao Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guo, Yuming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>FitzGerald, Gerry</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aitken, Peter</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tippett, Vivienne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Dong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Xiaoming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tong, 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titles)</collection><collection>Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Wang, Xiao Yu</au><au>Guo, Yuming</au><au>FitzGerald, Gerry</au><au>Aitken, Peter</au><au>Tippett, Vivienne</au><au>Chen, Dong</au><au>Wang, Xiaoming</au><au>Tong, Shilu</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2015-07-28</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>10</volume><issue>7</issue><spage>e0134233</spage><epage>e0134233</epage><pages>e0134233-e0134233</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Different locations and study periods were used in the assessment of the relationships between heatwaves and mortality. However, little is known about the comparability and consistency of the previous effect estimates in the literature. This study assessed the heatwave-mortality relationship using different study periods in the three largest Australian cities (Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney).
Daily data on climatic variables and mortality for the three cities were obtained from relevant government agencies between 1988 and 2011. A consistent definition of heatwaves was used for these cities. Poisson generalised additive model was fitted to assess the impact of heatwaves on mortality.
Non-accidental and circulatory mortality significantly increased during heatwaves across the three cities even with different heatwave definitions and study periods. Using the summer data resulted in the largest increase in effect estimates compared to those using the warm season or the whole year data.
The findings may have implications for developing standard approaches to evaluating the heatwave-mortality relationship and advancing heat health warning systems. It also provides an impetus to methodological advance for assessing climate change-related health consequences.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>26217945</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0134233</doi><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Analysis Australia Biometeorology Central business districts Cities Climate Change Definitions Emergency Service, Hospital - statistics & numerical data Epidemiology Extreme Heat - adverse effects Government agencies Health aspects Heat Heat waves Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data Humans Humidity Investigations Models, Theoretical Mortality Mortality - trends Outdoor air quality Population Public health Seasons Social work Studies Summer Survival Rate Time Factors Time series Warm seasons Warning systems |
title | The Impacts of Heatwaves on Mortality Differ with Different Study Periods: A Multi-City Time Series Investigation |
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