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Validation of the [MIRACLE.sub.2] Score for Prognostication After Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest

Background: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with very poor clinical outcomes. An optimal pathway of care is yet to be defined, but prognostication is likely to assist in the challenging decision-making required for treatment of this high-risk patient cohort. The [MIRACLE.sub.2] s...

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Published in:Interventional cardiology (London) 2023-01, Vol.18
Main Authors: Sunderland, Nicholas, Cheese, Francine, Leadbetter, Zoe, Joshi, Nikhil V, Mariathas, Mark, Felekos, Ioannis, Biswas, Sinjini, Dalton, Geoff, Dastidar, Amardeep, Aziz, Shahid, McKenzie, Dan, Kandan, Raveen, Khavandi, Ali, Rahbi, Hazim, Bourdeaux, Christopher, Rooney, Kieron, Govier, Matt, Thomas, Matthew, Dorman, Stephen, Strange, Julian, Johnson, Thomas W
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container_title Interventional cardiology (London)
container_volume 18
creator Sunderland, Nicholas
Cheese, Francine
Leadbetter, Zoe
Joshi, Nikhil V
Mariathas, Mark
Felekos, Ioannis
Biswas, Sinjini
Dalton, Geoff
Dastidar, Amardeep
Aziz, Shahid
McKenzie, Dan
Kandan, Raveen
Khavandi, Ali
Rahbi, Hazim
Bourdeaux, Christopher
Rooney, Kieron
Govier, Matt
Thomas, Matthew
Dorman, Stephen
Strange, Julian
Johnson, Thomas W
description Background: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with very poor clinical outcomes. An optimal pathway of care is yet to be defined, but prognostication is likely to assist in the challenging decision-making required for treatment of this high-risk patient cohort. The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score provides a simple method of neuro- prognostication but as yet it has not been externally validated. The aim of this study was therefore to retrospectively apply the score to a cohort of OHCA patients to assess the predictive ability and accuracy in the identification of neurological outcome. Methods: Retrospective data of patients identified by hospital coding, over a period of 18 months, were collected from a large tertiary-level cardiac centre with a mature, multidisciplinary OHCA service. [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performance was assessed against three existing OHCA prognostication scores. Results: Patients with all- comer OHCA, of presumed cardiac origin, with and without evidence of ST-elevation MI (43.4% versus 56.6%, respectively) were included. Regardless of presentation, the [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well in neuro-prognostication, with a low [MIRACLE.sub.2] score ([less than or equal to]2) providing a negative predictive value of 94% for poor neurological outcome at discharge, while a high score ([greater than or equal to]5) had a positive predictive value of 95%. A high [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well regardless of presenting ECG, with 91% of patients receiving early coronary angiography having a poor outcome. Conclusion: The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score has good prognostic performance and is easily applicable to cardiac-origin OHCA presentation at the hospital front door. Prognostic scoring may assist decision -making regarding early angiographic assessment. Keywords Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, neuro-prognostication, coronary angiography
doi_str_mv 10.15420/icr.2023.08
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An optimal pathway of care is yet to be defined, but prognostication is likely to assist in the challenging decision-making required for treatment of this high-risk patient cohort. The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score provides a simple method of neuro- prognostication but as yet it has not been externally validated. The aim of this study was therefore to retrospectively apply the score to a cohort of OHCA patients to assess the predictive ability and accuracy in the identification of neurological outcome. Methods: Retrospective data of patients identified by hospital coding, over a period of 18 months, were collected from a large tertiary-level cardiac centre with a mature, multidisciplinary OHCA service. [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performance was assessed against three existing OHCA prognostication scores. Results: Patients with all- comer OHCA, of presumed cardiac origin, with and without evidence of ST-elevation MI (43.4% versus 56.6%, respectively) were included. Regardless of presentation, the [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well in neuro-prognostication, with a low [MIRACLE.sub.2] score ([less than or equal to]2) providing a negative predictive value of 94% for poor neurological outcome at discharge, while a high score ([greater than or equal to]5) had a positive predictive value of 95%. A high [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well regardless of presenting ECG, with 91% of patients receiving early coronary angiography having a poor outcome. Conclusion: The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score has good prognostic performance and is easily applicable to cardiac-origin OHCA presentation at the hospital front door. Prognostic scoring may assist decision -making regarding early angiographic assessment. 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An optimal pathway of care is yet to be defined, but prognostication is likely to assist in the challenging decision-making required for treatment of this high-risk patient cohort. The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score provides a simple method of neuro- prognostication but as yet it has not been externally validated. The aim of this study was therefore to retrospectively apply the score to a cohort of OHCA patients to assess the predictive ability and accuracy in the identification of neurological outcome. Methods: Retrospective data of patients identified by hospital coding, over a period of 18 months, were collected from a large tertiary-level cardiac centre with a mature, multidisciplinary OHCA service. [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performance was assessed against three existing OHCA prognostication scores. Results: Patients with all- comer OHCA, of presumed cardiac origin, with and without evidence of ST-elevation MI (43.4% versus 56.6%, respectively) were included. Regardless of presentation, the [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well in neuro-prognostication, with a low [MIRACLE.sub.2] score ([less than or equal to]2) providing a negative predictive value of 94% for poor neurological outcome at discharge, while a high score ([greater than or equal to]5) had a positive predictive value of 95%. A high [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well regardless of presenting ECG, with 91% of patients receiving early coronary angiography having a poor outcome. Conclusion: The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score has good prognostic performance and is easily applicable to cardiac-origin OHCA presentation at the hospital front door. Prognostic scoring may assist decision -making regarding early angiographic assessment. 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Regardless of presentation, the [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well in neuro-prognostication, with a low [MIRACLE.sub.2] score ([less than or equal to]2) providing a negative predictive value of 94% for poor neurological outcome at discharge, while a high score ([greater than or equal to]5) had a positive predictive value of 95%. A high [MIRACLE.sub.2] score performed well regardless of presenting ECG, with 91% of patients receiving early coronary angiography having a poor outcome. Conclusion: The [MIRACLE.sub.2] score has good prognostic performance and is easily applicable to cardiac-origin OHCA presentation at the hospital front door. Prognostic scoring may assist decision -making regarding early angiographic assessment. Keywords Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, neuro-prognostication, coronary angiography</abstract><pub>Radcliffe Group Ltd</pub><doi>10.15420/icr.2023.08</doi></addata></record>
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1756-1477
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subjects Cardiac arrest
Cardiac patients
Care and treatment
Electrocardiogram
Electrocardiography
Medical research
Medicine, Experimental
title Validation of the [MIRACLE.sub.2] Score for Prognostication After Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest
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