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Simultaneous estimation of complementary moment independent and reliability-oriented sensitivity measures

In rare event analysis, the estimation of the failure probability is a crucial objective. However, focusing only on the occurrence of the failure event may be insufficient to entirely characterize the reliability of the considered system. This paper provides a common estimation scheme of two complem...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Mathematics and computers in simulation 2021-04, Vol.182, p.721-737
Main Authors: Derennes, Pierre, Morio, Jérôme, Simatos, Florian
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:In rare event analysis, the estimation of the failure probability is a crucial objective. However, focusing only on the occurrence of the failure event may be insufficient to entirely characterize the reliability of the considered system. This paper provides a common estimation scheme of two complementary moment independent sensitivity measures, allowing to improve the understanding of the system’s rare event. Numerical applications are performed in order to show the effectiveness of the proposed estimation procedure. •Simultaneous estimation of two complementary reliability-oriented sensitivity measures.•Proposed procedure based on Sequential Monte Carlo and Maximum entropy principle.•Comparison with variance-based sensitivity indices.
ISSN:0378-4754
1872-7166
DOI:10.1016/j.matcom.2020.11.024