Cause-of-death mortality: What can be learned from population dynamics?

This paper analyses cause-of-death mortality changes and its impacts on the whole population evolution. The study combines cause-of-death analysis and population dynamics techniques. Our aim is to measure the impact of cause-of-death reduction on the whole population age structure, and more specific...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Insurance, mathematics & economics mathematics & economics, 2018-01, Vol.78, p.301-315
Main Authors: Boumezoued, Alexandre, Hardy, Héloïse Labit, El Karoui, Nicole, Arnold, Séverine
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Age dependency ratio
Age differences
Age distribution
Age pyramid
Birth and death process
Cause-of-death mortality
Death
Death & dying
Dependence
Dependency
Fertility
Individual-Based model
Life expectancy
Macroscopic behavior
Mathematics
Mortality
Pension plans
Population
Population dynamics
Probability
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:This paper analyses cause-of-death mortality changes and its impacts on the whole population evolution. The study combines cause-of-death analysis and population dynamics techniques. Our aim is to measure the impact of cause-of-death reduction on the whole population age structure, and more specifically on the dependency ratio which is a crucial quantity for pay-as-you-go pension systems. Although previous studies on causes of death focused on mortality indicators such as survival curves or life expectancy, our approach provides additional information by including birth patterns. As an important conclusion, our numerical results based on French data show that populations with identical life expectancies can present important differences in their age pyramid resulting from different cause-specific mortality reductions. Sensitivities to fertility level and population flows are also given.
ISSN:0167-6687
1873-5959
DOI:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.015