A transit ridership-revenue model

The paper outlines the theoretical underpinnings of an urban mass transit revenue and ridership model designed to provide medium term forecasts of future trends in situations of data sparsity. The specific example laid out in the paper relates to the Greater Vancouver Regional District but the frame...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Transportation planning and technology 1984-06, Vol.9 (1), p.47-60
Main Authors: Navin, F. P. D., Button, K. J.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Applied sciences
Exact sciences and technology
Ground, air and sea transportation, marine construction
Transportation planning, management and economics
Citations: Items that this one cites
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:The paper outlines the theoretical underpinnings of an urban mass transit revenue and ridership model designed to provide medium term forecasts of future trends in situations of data sparsity. The specific example laid out in the paper relates to the Greater Vancouver Regional District but the framework is of general applicability. Much of the informational input at the initial stage is of a general kind and details of the specific transit system and local area are of the sort which should be readily available to most urban authorities. The model developed is designed for use on a desk-top micro-computer and offers an inter-active method of forecasting. The operator has the facility to both consider fare policy sensitivity and review alternative scenarios about future trends in exogenous factors. A selection of forecasts developed for the GVRD is provided to reveal the main features of the approach.
ISSN:0308-1060
1029-0354
DOI:10.1080/03081068408717268