Seasonality of Property Crime in Hong Kong

Rates of property crime (burglary and theft) in Hong Kong for the period 1991–2000 were analysed to determine their relationships with seasons. Regression analysis (using dummy variables) and analysis of variance (ANOVA) were employed to test the existence of seasonality. A dummy variable regression...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:British journal of criminology 2004-03, Vol.44 (2), p.276-283
Main Author: Yan, Yuk Yee
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Analysis of variance
Burglary
Climate models
Crime
Criminal justice
Criminals
CRIMINOLOGY
Hong Kong
Larceny
Offenses against property
Physiological effect
Pickpocketing
Property
Property crime
Property crimes
Property damage
Regression analysis
Seasonal variations
Seasonality
Seasons
Theft
VICTIMS
Violent crimes
Weather
Winter
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Summary:Rates of property crime (burglary and theft) in Hong Kong for the period 1991–2000 were analysed to determine their relationships with seasons. Regression analysis (using dummy variables) and analysis of variance (ANOVA) were employed to test the existence of seasonality. A dummy variable regression model was used to examine whether property crime rates varied more in some months than others. Results indicated the absence of seasonality in burglary and total theft. Shop theft had a winter peak and snatching and pickpocketing had a weak summer crest. The Hong Kong experience is different from that of other regions and this present study acts as a cross-cultural perspective to the topic of crime seasonality.
ISSN:0007-0955
1464-3529
DOI:10.1093/bjc/44.2.276