Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters

Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:PloS one 2016-03, Vol.11 (3), p.e0152186
Main Authors: Yang, Hyun Mo, Boldrini, José Luiz, Fassoni, Artur César, Freitas, Luiz Fernando Souza, Gomez, Miller Ceron, de Lima, Karla Katerine Barboza, Andrade, Valmir Roberto, Freitas, André Ricardo Ribas
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Aedes
Aedes - virology
Aedes aegypti
Aedes albopictus
Analysis
Animals
Aquatic insects
Biology and Life Sciences
Brazil - epidemiology
Carrying capacity
Climate
Culicidae
Dengue
Dengue - transmission
Dengue fever
Dengue virus
Development and progression
Disease transmission
Earth Sciences
Eggs
Females
Hatching
Health aspects
Humans
Incidence
Insect Vectors
Mathematical models
Medicine and Health Sciences
Models, Theoretical
Mosquitoes
People and Places
Population
Precipitation
Precipitation (Meteorology)
Temperature
Time dependence
Tropical diseases
Vector-borne diseases
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.
ISSN:1932-6203
1932-6203
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0152186